Alaves vs Mallorca Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — 25-04-2026

Team Analysis

Deportivo Alaves enters this match with a mixed bag of results in their last five outings. Their record reads: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, showcasing their inconsistency. Surprisingly strong at home, they’ve managed to secure vital victories against higher-ranked teams but also suffered unexpected defeats, often plagued by lapses in concentration. Alaves's offensive play revolves around the talents of forward Lucas Pérez, who leads the team in goals scored this season. Defensively, the center-back pairing of Florian Lejeune and Álvaro Fernández has been shaky at times, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match.

On the flip side, RCD Mallorca has shown commendable resilience lately, with a recent performance tally of 3 wins and 2 losses. They are particularly dangerous on the counter-attack, utilizing the pace of winger Vedat Muriqi, who poses a constant threat to opposition defenses. Mallorca's defensive statistics reveal they have conceded 1.68 goals per game, making them vulnerable—especially on the road. Their ability to hold on to leads has been questionable, with late-game lapses costing them points in several matches.

Key Statistics and Head-to-Head

The head-to-head record between Alaves and Mallorca leans slightly in favor of Alaves, boasting 5 wins to Mallorca’s 3 in their last 10 encounters. Notably, in their most recent clash this season, Alaves edged out Mallorca with a 2-1 victory, highlighting their psychological advantage. In terms of season performance, Alaves currently sits at 14th place, having scored a total of 36 goals while conceding 40. Mallorca, meanwhile, is at 17th, grappling with 32 goals scored against 46 conceded, underscoring their defensive frailties.

Contextual Factors

This encounter will take place at Mendizorrotza Stadium, where the home advantage cannot be overstated. The expected crowd will rally behind Alaves, potentially giving them the extra push needed to capitalize on their home comforts. However, the weather forecast predicts overcast skies with a possibility of rain, which could affect both teams’ playing styles, potentially favoring the more organized defensive structure of Alaves.

Injury-wise, Alaves has no significant absentee concerns, making them a more stable unit going into the match. Conversely, Mallorca may be without key midfielder Salva Sevilla, whose absence could adversely affect their midfield stability and creativity.

Prediction and Conclusion

Taking into account recent forms, head-to-head records, and the contextual factors surrounding the match, I predict a tight contest ending in a 2-1 victory for Deportivo Alaves. Their home advantage, combined with a stronger attacking lineup, should see them clinch the crucial three points against a Mallorca side still searching for consistency. For betting enthusiasts, consider backing Alaves for a win with a small wager on 'over 2.5 goals' since both defenses have shown vulnerabilities and attacking quality is present on both sides.