Estrela ضد Benfica توقع، احتمالات وتحليلات - 08-11-2026

8 نوفمبر20:30
Estrela
2 : 3

انتهت

Benfica
توقع المباراة

النتيجة المتوقعة: Estrela 0-3 Benfica

83%
EstrelaتعادلBenfica
أكثر من 2.5 أهدافنعم (75%)

Benfica travel to Amadora to face Estrela in Primeira Liga Round 11, a fixture that on paper presents a stark mismatch in ambition and performance. The visitors sit second with 25 points from ten games, while the hosts languish in 12th with just 10 points. Benfica's recent record reads as a masterclass in clinical finishing; Estrela's tells a story of struggle. This is a match where the gap between the two sides should prove decisive.

Team form

Estrela

Estrela have won just 2 of their opening 10 league games and enter this fixture in alarming form. Over their last five outings they have scored only 5 goals whilst conceding 9, a ratio that explains their mid-table position. Most recently they fell to a 0-2 home defeat to Casa Pia on 24 October, and before that lost 0-1 away at Arouca. In fact, three of their last four matches have ended in defeat without them scoring. Their season average of 1.50 goals per game and 1.90 conceded underlines a side struggling at both ends. Playing in a 4-5-1 formation under coach Pepa, they lack the cutting edge needed against elite opposition.

Benfica

Benfica's form is the polar opposite. They have won four straight league games and five of their last five overall, scoring 19 goals and conceding just 2 across that span. Their season average of 2.70 scored and 0.80 conceded reflects a side operating at a different level entirely. Under Marco Silva's 4-2-3-1 system, they combine defensive solidity with attacking potency. The 3-1 victory over GIL Vicente on 13 September, the 4-0 demolition of Moreirense, and the 7-0 thrashing of Casa Pia in August demonstrate their capacity to impose their will on opponents. They arrive as heavy favourites for sound reason.

Head-to-head

The head-to-head record is unambiguous. In their last five meetings, Benfica have won all five, including a 4-0 victory in January 2024 and a 4-0 win in January 2021. Estrela have not beaten Benfica in this sequence and have conceded 15 goals across those five encounters. The only time they managed to score more than once was a 2-3 defeat in February 2025. History offers Estrela no encouragement.

Key factors

Benfica's defensive discipline will be crucial; they have conceded only 8 goals in 10 games. Estrela's attacking impotence—just 15 goals in ten matches—makes it hard to envisage them breaching that defence. The visitors' midfield control, evidenced by 64% possession and 88% pass accuracy in their last outing, should allow them to dictate tempo. Estrela's recent inability to score, particularly at home, suggests they will struggle to create genuine openings. Benfica's forward line, led by players who have consistently delivered, should find space in a Estrela defence that has conceded 1.90 per game on average.

Prediction

The statistical gap between these sides is substantial. Benfica's 25-point lead over Estrela in the standings reflects genuine quality separation. The visitors' recent form—five wins from five—contrasts sharply with Estrela's three defeats in four. Benfica have the personnel, the system, and the momentum to control this match. Estrela's home record offers no refuge; they have lost three of their last four at this ground. While Benfica are not infallible, the probability of an upset here is minimal. The visitors should dictate proceedings and convert their expected dominance into goals.

Benfica are strong favourites to win this encounter. Back the away victory with confidence. The bookmakers price them at 1.24, reflecting their clear superiority. For fantasy league purposes, Benfica's attacking assets merit selection; Estrela's defensive vulnerabilities make their players risky picks. A comfortable away win is the most likely outcome.

معلومات المباراة

البطولات:

Primeira Liga(Regular Season - 11)

الحكم:

Antonio Nobre

الملعب

Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora

إحصائيات

التحليلات الإحصائية

الأداء الأخير

Estrela
L
L
L
W
L
Benfica
W
W
W
W
W

الإصابات والإيقافات

التشكيلات

الترتيب

#الفريقلعبفتخلهعليهالفارقنقاط
1
FC Porto
1111002752233
2
Benfica
1191130102028
3
Sporting CP
1173124111324
4
Santa Clara
11632168821
5
Arouca
11623138520
6
Academico Viseu
116231513220
7
GIL Vicente
11533108218
8
SC Braga
115241311217
9
Moreirense
114251318-514
10
Famalicao
113441514113
11
Alverca
113351415-112
12
Estrela
112451722-510
13
Nacional
113171119-810
14
Vitória SC
112361112-19
15
Maritimo
10226921-128
16
Casa Pia
11227620-148
17
Rio Ave
11218924-157
18
Estoril
10028519-142
Prediction icon

مباريات كرة القدم الأخرى

Estrela vs Benfica - توقعات كرة القدم ونصائح التحليل

توقعات خبيرة لمباراة كرة القدم Estrela vs Benfica على 365sport.tv تجمع بين تحليل التشكيلات التكتيكية واتجاهات التهديف. يقيم نموذجنا احصائيات ركلات الجزاء وسجلات الشباك النظيفة واداء حراس المرمى وتنظيم خط الدفاع وميزة اللعب على ارضك لتحديد القيمة في نتائج المباريات واسواق الاهداف.


تحلل منهجية التوقعات لدينا مطابقات التشكيلات وكفاءة الانتقال وضعف الكرات الثابتة وتاثير الاصابات على الاعداد التكتيكي. قارن الاحتمالات من عدة محللين واكتشف توقعات مدعومة بتحليل اجراءات خط المرمى ومعدلات تحويل الركنيات وانماط الضغط الدفاعي عبر مراحل استحواذ متعددة.