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Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven prediksi, & tips analisis - 08-11-2026
8 Nov15:45
2 : 5
Prediksi Pertandingan
Skor perkiraan: Cambuur 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
CambuurImbangPSV Eindhoven
Over 2,5 golYa (77%)
Kedua tim mencetak golYa (65%)
PSV Eindhoven travel to Kooi Stadion to face SC Cambuur in Eredivisie Round 12, a fixture that pits the third-placed visitors against a Cambuur side sitting ninth. The bookmakers have priced this decisively: PSV are heavy favourites at 1.37, with the over 2.5 goals market at 1.26 reflecting expectations of an open contest. For bettors, the sharp odds on the away win and the high over 2.5 probability signal where the smart money is flowing.
Team form
Cambuur
Cambuur have shown inconsistency across their last five outings, posting 9 goals for and 5 against. They drew 2-2 at home with AZ Alkmaar most recently, following a narrow 1-0 away win at PEC Zwolle. The pattern is one of modest attacking output paired with defensive vulnerabilities: they average 2.09 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game this season. In their last match, they managed 1.53 expected goals from 36% possession, suggesting they lack the control to dictate play against stronger opponents.
PSV Eindhoven
PSV have been far more prolific, scoring 17 goals across their last five matches while conceding just 6. They won 2-0 at home against Heerenveen on 9 October, though that fixture saw them generate only 1.64 expected goals from 55% possession—a reminder that their recent dominance rests partly on clinical finishing. Over the season, they average 3.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game, a differential that ranks them third in the standings with 23 points from 11 matches. Their attacking threat is genuine and sustained.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is heavily skewed toward PSV. In their last five meetings, PSV have won three times, with Cambuur's sole victory coming at home in October 2022 when they won 3-0. That result is an outlier; PSV won 2-0 and 2-1 away in their two most recent away visits, and earlier meetings saw them triumph 6-0 and 2-1 at Cambuur. The historical pattern strongly favours the visitors.
Key factors
PSV's superior goal-scoring rate and defensive solidity form the foundation of their favouritism. Cambuur's 36% possession in their last outing illustrates how they struggle to retain the ball against better sides, and PSV's 55% average shows they will likely control proceedings. The bookmakers' confidence in over 2.5 goals reflects PSV's attacking prowess and Cambuur's leaky defence. Cambuur's home record offers minimal comfort: they concede 2.00 per game on average and have shipped goals consistently. PSV's Mauro Júnior, Sergino Dest, and the midfield creativity of Guus Til provide multiple attacking vectors that Cambuur's 4-2-3-1 shape will struggle to contain.
Prediction
The model strongly favours PSV, assigning them a clear majority win probability. Cambuur's recent form, defensive fragility, and the gulf in season-long output metrics all point to a convincing away victory. The expected goals balance tilts sharply toward PSV, suggesting the visitors should create and convert clearer chances. The likeliest scorelines indicate a scenario where Cambuur score once but PSV's attacking depth proves decisive. An open game with multiple goals looks probable given PSV's goal-scoring average and Cambuur's defensive record.
PSV Eindhoven should win this fixture. Their attacking potency, defensive discipline, and historical dominance over Cambuur combine to make them strong favourites. Bettors backing the away win are aligned with the market consensus and the underlying form data. The over 2.5 goals market is also attractive given PSV's goal-scoring average and Cambuur's defensive record. A 1-2 or 2-1 scoreline in PSV's favour represents the likeliest outcome, though the visitors' quality suggests they may win by a larger margin.
Info Pertandingan
Statistik
Analisis Statistik
Form Terakhir
Cambuur
L
W
W
W
D
PSV Eindhoven
L
W
D
W
L
Cedera & Larangan Bermain
Susunan Pemain
Klasemen
| # | Tim | MN | M | S | K | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Pertandingan Sepak Bola lainnya
Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven - Prediksi Sepak Bola dan Tips Analisis
Prediksi ahli sepak bola Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven di 365sport.tv menggabungkan analisis formasi taktis dengan tren pencetak gol. Model kami mengevaluasi statistik penalti, catatan clean sheet, performa penjaga gawang, organisasi lini pertahanan dan keuntungan bermain di kandang untuk mengidentifikasi nilai dalam hasil pertandingan dan pasar gol.
Metodologi prediksi sepak bola kami menganalisis kecocokan formasi, efisiensi transisi, kerentanan bola mati dan dampak cedera pada pengaturan taktis. Bandingkan data dari beberapa analis dan temukan prediksi yang didukung analisis aksi garis gol, tingkat konversi tendangan sudut dan pola tekanan defensif di berbagai fase penguasaan bola.