União de Leiria vs Tondela prediksi, & tips analisis - 28-08-2026

Match Analysis

Heading into this fixture, our statistical model projects a final score of União de Leiria 1-3 Tondela based on recent results, expected finishes data and head-to-head history. The win-probability split breaks down as 27% for União de Leiria, 35% for the draw and 38% for Tondela, making Tondela the clear favourite to take all three points in this encounter. Tondela have collected 4 win(s), 0 draw(s) and 1 loss(es) in their last 5 fixtures, scoring 8 and conceding 4 goal(s) overall. União de Leiria have collected 2 win(s), a total of 1 draw(s) and two loss(es) in their last five fixtures, scoring 7 and conceding 8 goal(s) overall. These numbers should be read alongside any squad news, weather conditions and motivation factors that might influence the outcome on the day.

União de Leiria — Recent Form

• União de Leiria away to Leixoes — lost the match 2-4 (result: L).
• União de Leiria at home against Benfica II — lost the encounter 1-2 (result: L).
• União de Leiria away to Vizela — won the encounter 1-0 (result: W).
• União de Leiria at home against Feirense — ended level the match 2-2 (result: D).
• União de Leiria away to Vizela — won the match 1-0 (result: W).

Tondela — Recent Form

• Tondela at home against Academica — fell short the match 0-2 (result: L).
• Tondela away to Leixoes — came out on top the fixture 1-0 (result: W).
• Tondela at home against Amarante — claimed a win the contest 2-1 (result: W).
• Tondela away to Arouca — won the game 3-1 (result: W).
• Tondela at home against Moreirense — came out on top the match 2-0 (result: W).

Prediction

Predicted score: União de Leiria 1-3 Tondela.

Win probabilities: Home 27% / Draw 35% / Away 38%.

Small Stake on Away Win 1-3