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Risultato previsto: Utrera 2-0 Córdoba II
Utrera arrive at this Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 fixture as the division's runaway leaders, while Córdoba II sit in the relegation zone with just 2 points from six matches. The gap between these sides is stark: Utrera have won five of their opening six games, while Córdoba II have managed only two draws and four defeats. This matchup pits the group's most prolific defence against its most porous, setting up a heavily lopsided contest on paper.
Team form
Utrera
Utrera's season has been a masterclass in consistency. They have won their last five league games without conceding more than once in any of them, and have scored in every outing. Over those five matches, they averaged 1.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. Their recent away victory at Linense (1-0) and home wins over Cádiz II (1-0) and Conil (2-0) show they can grind out results both at home and on the road. For the season, they have conceded only 5 goals in 6 matches—a rate of 0.83 per game—which is the foundation of their league-leading position.
Córdoba II
Córdoba II's campaign has been a struggle. In their last five games, they have scored just 0.6 goals per match while leaking 1.6. Their most recent outing—a 2-2 draw at home against Pozoblanco—was their only result that did not end in defeat, and even that came after conceding twice. They have lost three of their last five, including a 2-0 away defeat at Conil and a 2-0 loss at Tomares. With only 5 goals scored across six matches (0.83 per game) and 12 conceded (2.00 per game), they rank among the division's weakest attacking and defensive units.
Head-to-head
The historical record between these sides tells a mixed story. Their last two meetings ended in 1-1 draws, in May 2025 and February 2024. Before that, Utrera won 2-1 away in December 2021, while Córdoba II claimed a 3-0 home victory in March 2021. However, those earlier results carry little weight given the vast gulf in current form and league position. Córdoba II's inability to score consistently this season makes a repeat of their 2021 dominance highly unlikely.
Key factors
The central narrative is Utrera's defensive solidity meeting Córdoba II's attacking fragility. Utrera have conceded just once in their last five matches and face an opponent averaging 0.83 goals per game—well below their season average of 1.33 scored. Córdoba II's defensive vulnerabilities (2.00 conceded per game) are equally damning against Utrera's attacking rhythm. Set-piece execution and midfield control will likely decide the margin rather than the outcome itself. Córdoba II must find a way to compress space and limit Utrera's transitions; any failure to do so will result in a heavy defeat.
Prediction
The betting market reflects the reality on the pitch: Utrera are overwhelming favourites. Their five-game winning streak, superior goal difference, and defensive record all point to a comfortable home victory. Córdoba II lack the attacking threat to trouble Utrera's backline and have shown little resilience when facing stronger opponents. The expected goal balance heavily favours the hosts, and the market prices Utrera's win at a strong level. A draw is possible given the teams' historical tendency to stalemate, but Utrera's current form makes it unlikely they fail to break down a side with Córdoba II's defensive frailties.
Utrera should win this match decisively. The hosts' attacking prowess and defensive discipline are too much for a Córdoba II side battling relegation form. Expect a comfortable home victory that extends Utrera's lead at the summit.
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Statistiche
Confronto quote
Forma recente
Infortuni e squalifiche
Formazioni
Classifica
| # | Squadra | PG | V | P | S | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
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Pronostico esperto di calcio Utrera vs Córdoba II su 365sport.tv combina l'analisi delle formazioni tattiche con le tendenze dei marcatori. Il nostro modello valuta statistiche dei rigori, record di clean sheet, forma dei portieri, organizzazione della linea difensiva e vantaggio casalingo per identificare valore nei risultati e nei mercati gol.
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