Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven 予想・データ分析・試合分析ヒント - 08-11-2026

11月8日15:45
Cambuur
2 : 5

試合終了

PSV Eindhoven
試合予想

予想スコア: Cambuur 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

15%
72%
Cambuur引き分けPSV Eindhoven
2.5ゴール以上はい (77%)
両チーム得点はい (65%)

PSV Eindhoven travel to Kooi Stadion to face SC Cambuur in Eredivisie Round 12, a fixture that pits the third-placed visitors against a Cambuur side sitting ninth. The bookmakers have priced this decisively: PSV are heavy favourites at 1.37, with the over 2.5 goals market at 1.26 reflecting expectations of an open contest. For bettors, the sharp odds on the away win and the high over 2.5 probability signal where the smart money is flowing.

Team form

Cambuur

Cambuur have shown inconsistency across their last five outings, posting 9 goals for and 5 against. They drew 2-2 at home with AZ Alkmaar most recently, following a narrow 1-0 away win at PEC Zwolle. The pattern is one of modest attacking output paired with defensive vulnerabilities: they average 2.09 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game this season. In their last match, they managed 1.53 expected goals from 36% possession, suggesting they lack the control to dictate play against stronger opponents.

PSV Eindhoven

PSV have been far more prolific, scoring 17 goals across their last five matches while conceding just 6. They won 2-0 at home against Heerenveen on 9 October, though that fixture saw them generate only 1.64 expected goals from 55% possession—a reminder that their recent dominance rests partly on clinical finishing. Over the season, they average 3.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game, a differential that ranks them third in the standings with 23 points from 11 matches. Their attacking threat is genuine and sustained.

Head-to-head

The head-to-head record is heavily skewed toward PSV. In their last five meetings, PSV have won three times, with Cambuur's sole victory coming at home in October 2022 when they won 3-0. That result is an outlier; PSV won 2-0 and 2-1 away in their two most recent away visits, and earlier meetings saw them triumph 6-0 and 2-1 at Cambuur. The historical pattern strongly favours the visitors.

Key factors

PSV's superior goal-scoring rate and defensive solidity form the foundation of their favouritism. Cambuur's 36% possession in their last outing illustrates how they struggle to retain the ball against better sides, and PSV's 55% average shows they will likely control proceedings. The bookmakers' confidence in over 2.5 goals reflects PSV's attacking prowess and Cambuur's leaky defence. Cambuur's home record offers minimal comfort: they concede 2.00 per game on average and have shipped goals consistently. PSV's Mauro Júnior, Sergino Dest, and the midfield creativity of Guus Til provide multiple attacking vectors that Cambuur's 4-2-3-1 shape will struggle to contain.

Prediction

The model strongly favours PSV, assigning them a clear majority win probability. Cambuur's recent form, defensive fragility, and the gulf in season-long output metrics all point to a convincing away victory. The expected goals balance tilts sharply toward PSV, suggesting the visitors should create and convert clearer chances. The likeliest scorelines indicate a scenario where Cambuur score once but PSV's attacking depth proves decisive. An open game with multiple goals looks probable given PSV's goal-scoring average and Cambuur's defensive record.

PSV Eindhoven should win this fixture. Their attacking potency, defensive discipline, and historical dominance over Cambuur combine to make them strong favourites. Bettors backing the away win are aligned with the market consensus and the underlying form data. The over 2.5 goals market is also attractive given PSV's goal-scoring average and Cambuur's defensive record. A 1-2 or 2-1 scoreline in PSV's favour represents the likeliest outcome, though the visitors' quality suggests they may win by a larger margin.

試合情報

トーナメント:

Eredivisie(Regular Season - 12)

審判:

Sander van der Eijk

スタジアム

Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

統計

統計分析

最近のフォーム

Cambuur
L
W
W
W
D
PSV Eindhoven
L
W
D
W
L

負傷・出場停止

ラインナップ

順位表

#チーム試勝分負得失差勝点
1
PSV Eindhoven
1282240152526
2
Feyenoord
1274136171925
3
Ajax
1274132151725
4
Twente
1273230121824
5
AZ Alkmaar
127232416823
6
Heerenveen
126332416821
7
Fortuna Sittard
125522020020
8
GO Ahead Eagles
124532427-317
9
Groningen
124352928115
10
Cambuur
124352527-215
11
NEC Nijmegen
123542021-114
12
Sparta Rotterdam
123362129-812
13
PEC Zwolle
123361324-1112
14
Utrecht
123362134-1312
15
Excelsior
123271629-1311
16
Telstar
122461825-710
17
ADO Den Haag
122371625-99
18
Willem II
120391140-293
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その他のサッカーの試合

Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven - サッカー予測と分析ヒント

365sport.tvのCambuur vs PSV Eindhovenサッカー専門家予測は戦術的フォーメーション分析と得点傾向を組み合わせています。モデルはペナルティ統計、クリーンシート記録、ゴールキーパーフォーム、守備ライン組織、ホームアドバンテージを評価し、試合結果とゴールマーケットの価値を特定します。


サッカー予測方法論はフォーメーションマッチアップ、トランジション効率、セットプレー脆弱性、けがの戦術的影響を分析します。複数アナリストのデータを比較し、ゴールライン上のアクション分析、コーナーキックコンバージョン率、複数ポゼッションフェーズにわたる守備プレッシャーパターンに基づく予測を発見できます。