試合終了
予想スコア: Cambuur 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven travel to Kooi Stadion to face SC Cambuur in Eredivisie Round 12, a fixture that pits the third-placed visitors against a Cambuur side sitting ninth. The bookmakers have priced this decisively: PSV are heavy favourites at 1.37, with the over 2.5 goals market at 1.26 reflecting expectations of an open contest. For bettors, the sharp odds on the away win and the high over 2.5 probability signal where the smart money is flowing.
Team form
Cambuur
Cambuur have shown inconsistency across their last five outings, posting 9 goals for and 5 against. They drew 2-2 at home with AZ Alkmaar most recently, following a narrow 1-0 away win at PEC Zwolle. The pattern is one of modest attacking output paired with defensive vulnerabilities: they average 2.09 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game this season. In their last match, they managed 1.53 expected goals from 36% possession, suggesting they lack the control to dictate play against stronger opponents.
PSV Eindhoven
PSV have been far more prolific, scoring 17 goals across their last five matches while conceding just 6. They won 2-0 at home against Heerenveen on 9 October, though that fixture saw them generate only 1.64 expected goals from 55% possession—a reminder that their recent dominance rests partly on clinical finishing. Over the season, they average 3.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game, a differential that ranks them third in the standings with 23 points from 11 matches. Their attacking threat is genuine and sustained.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is heavily skewed toward PSV. In their last five meetings, PSV have won three times, with Cambuur's sole victory coming at home in October 2022 when they won 3-0. That result is an outlier; PSV won 2-0 and 2-1 away in their two most recent away visits, and earlier meetings saw them triumph 6-0 and 2-1 at Cambuur. The historical pattern strongly favours the visitors.
Key factors
PSV's superior goal-scoring rate and defensive solidity form the foundation of their favouritism. Cambuur's 36% possession in their last outing illustrates how they struggle to retain the ball against better sides, and PSV's 55% average shows they will likely control proceedings. The bookmakers' confidence in over 2.5 goals reflects PSV's attacking prowess and Cambuur's leaky defence. Cambuur's home record offers minimal comfort: they concede 2.00 per game on average and have shipped goals consistently. PSV's Mauro Júnior, Sergino Dest, and the midfield creativity of Guus Til provide multiple attacking vectors that Cambuur's 4-2-3-1 shape will struggle to contain.
Prediction
The model strongly favours PSV, assigning them a clear majority win probability. Cambuur's recent form, defensive fragility, and the gulf in season-long output metrics all point to a convincing away victory. The expected goals balance tilts sharply toward PSV, suggesting the visitors should create and convert clearer chances. The likeliest scorelines indicate a scenario where Cambuur score once but PSV's attacking depth proves decisive. An open game with multiple goals looks probable given PSV's goal-scoring average and Cambuur's defensive record.
PSV Eindhoven should win this fixture. Their attacking potency, defensive discipline, and historical dominance over Cambuur combine to make them strong favourites. Bettors backing the away win are aligned with the market consensus and the underlying form data. The over 2.5 goals market is also attractive given PSV's goal-scoring average and Cambuur's defensive record. A 1-2 or 2-1 scoreline in PSV's favour represents the likeliest outcome, though the visitors' quality suggests they may win by a larger margin.
試合情報
統計
統計分析
最近のフォーム
負傷・出場停止
ラインナップ
順位表
| # | チーム | 試 | 勝 | 分 | 負 | 勝点 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | |
| 11 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | |
| 16 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | |
| 18 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
その他のサッカーの試合
Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven - サッカー予測と分析ヒント
365sport.tvのCambuur vs PSV Eindhovenサッカー専門家予測は戦術的フォーメーション分析と得点傾向を組み合わせています。モデルはペナルティ統計、クリーンシート記録、ゴールキーパーフォーム、守備ライン組織、ホームアドバンテージを評価し、試合結果とゴールマーケットの価値を特定します。
サッカー予測方法論はフォーメーションマッチアップ、トランジション効率、セットプレー脆弱性、けがの戦術的影響を分析します。複数アナリストのデータを比較し、ゴールライン上のアクション分析、コーナーキックコンバージョン率、複数ポゼッションフェーズにわたる守備プレッシャーパターンに基づく予測を発見できます。