試合終了
試合予想
予想スコア: Utrecht 1-2 NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht引き分けNEC Nijmegen
2.5ゴール以上はい (64%)
両チーム得点はい (65%)
Utrecht host NEC Nijmegen at Stadion Galgenwaard in Eredivisie round 12, with both sides occupying the lower half of the table. Utrecht sit 12th on 12 points from 11 games, while NEC lie 13th with 11 points. The hosts have won two of their last three but remain vulnerable defensively, conceding 2.82 per game on average. NEC, by contrast, have found consistency hard to come by, drawing three of their last five matches.
Team form
Utrecht
Utrecht's recent record shows promise tempered by inconsistency. They won 2-1 away at Twente on 2026-10-18 and 3-1 at home to Willem II on 2026-10-11, but those victories sandwiched a heavy 0-5 defeat at Feyenoord. Over their last five games, they have scored 10 and conceded 11, averaging 2.0 goals for and 2.2 against. In their last outing, they managed only 37% possession and 1.25 expected goals, suggesting they can be vulnerable when opponents control the ball.
NEC Nijmegen
NEC have been frustratingly inconsistent, drawing their last three league matches: 2-2 at home to Groningen, 2-2 at home to Fortuna Sittard, and 1-1 away at Ajax. Before that, they lost 0-3 away to Cambuur. Over five games, they have scored just 6 and conceded 9, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.8 against. Their last match showed greater attacking intent, with 59% possession and 1.88 expected goals against Groningen, though they could not convert that dominance into a win.
Head-to-head
The historical record between these sides spans a decade, with Utrecht holding a slight edge. Their most recent meeting came in 2016, a 1-1 draw at home. Before that, Utrecht won 3-1 at Galgenwaard in 2016 and 2-0 in 2013. NEC's sole victory in this sequence came away in 2013, winning 3-0. The fixture has produced mixed results, though Utrecht have generally fared better on home soil.
Key factors
Utrecht's defensive frailty is the standout concern: they have conceded 31 goals in 11 games, the worst record on display here. NEC's recent form, though draw-heavy, suggests they can absorb pressure and create chances—their last outing generated nearly 1.9 expected goals. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.42, reflecting the attacking potential on both sides despite defensive vulnerabilities. Utrecht's 3-4-3 formation offers width, while NEC's 3-4-2-1 provides midfield control. Possession patterns will likely favour NEC, but Utrecht have shown they can hurt opponents on the counter.
Prediction
The betting market leans slightly toward NEC, and the underlying metrics support that edge. NEC have been more defensively solid this season (1.73 goals conceded per game versus Utrecht's 2.82) and have demonstrated they can control matches. Utrecht, despite recent wins, remain leaky at the back and face a side that will likely dominate possession. Both teams have shown they can score, and the market's 70% probability for both teams to score reflects the open nature of this contest. A close match with goals at both ends is the likeliest outcome.
This is a tight encounter with an edge to NEC Nijmegen. The visitors' superior defensive record and recent possession-based performances give them a narrow advantage, though Utrecht's home record and counter-attacking threat keep this finely balanced. Expect a fairly open game with both sides capable of finding the net.
試合情報
統計
統計分析
最近のフォーム
Utrecht
L
W
D
W
W
NEC Nijmegen
W
L
D
W
D
負傷・出場停止
ラインナップ
順位表
| # | チーム | 試 | 勝 | 分 | 負 | 勝点 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 |  Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 |  Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 |  Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
その他のサッカーの試合
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen - サッカー予測と分析ヒント
365sport.tvのUtrecht vs NEC Nijmegenサッカー専門家予測は戦術的フォーメーション分析と得点傾向を組み合わせています。モデルはペナルティ統計、クリーンシート記録、ゴールキーパーフォーム、守備ライン組織、ホームアドバンテージを評価し、試合結果とゴールマーケットの価値を特定します。
サッカー予測方法論はフォーメーションマッチアップ、トランジション効率、セットプレー脆弱性、けがの戦術的影響を分析します。複数アナリストのデータを比較し、ゴールライン上のアクション分析、コーナーキックコンバージョン率、複数ポゼッションフェーズにわたる守備プレッシャーパターンに基づく予測を発見できます。