Groningen x Ajax palpite, odds e dicas de apostas - 18-10-2026

18/1014:45
Groningen
2 : 5

Finalizado

Ajax
Previsão da partida

Resultado previsto: Groningen 1-2 Ajax

23%
23%
54%
GroningenEmpateAjax
Mais de 2,5 golsSim (74%)
Ambas marcamSim (72%)

Groningen host Ajax at the Euroborg in Eredivisie Round 9, with the visitors holding a narrow edge in the title picture. Ajax sit fifth on 15 points, one ahead of their hosts, after eight matches. Both sides have shown attacking intent this season, though Ajax's superior defensive record—conceding 1.25 per game to Groningen's 1.75—gives them a structural advantage.

Team form

Groningen

Groningen have won two of their last five, most recently a dominant 5-1 away victory at Excelsior on 11 October. They scored 13 goals across those five matches while conceding 7, averaging 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. A 3-0 home win over PEC Zwolle preceded the Excelsior result, though they drew twice earlier in the run and lost to Fortuna Sittard. The recent form shows attacking capability but inconsistency in control.

Ajax

Ajax have won three of their last five matches, including a 5-1 demolition of Willem II and a 5-1 away victory at Fortuna Sittard. They scored 17 goals across the five-game span while conceding 7, averaging 3.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. A 2-2 home draw with Excelsior and a 1-3 loss to PSV Eindhoven represent their only blemishes. Ajax's attacking output has been sharper, and their possession-dominant approach—81% in their last outing—reflects their structural control.

Head-to-head

The head-to-head record between these sides spans five meetings since 2016. Groningen won at home 2-1 in January 2020, but Ajax have won three of the other four encounters, including two away victories. The pattern suggests Ajax hold the upper hand in this fixture, though Groningen's home record against them offers some encouragement.

Key factors

Ajax's defensive solidity and attacking potency form the foundation of their advantage. They have conceded fewer goals per game and created more, reflected in their 2.75 goals-per-game average against Groningen's 2.50. Groningen's recent form is encouraging—the Excelsior result in particular shows they can overwhelm opponents—but consistency remains a concern. Ajax's midfield control, exemplified by their possession dominance, typically dictates the tempo of matches. Groningen will need to press high and transition quickly to disrupt Ajax's rhythm; a passive approach will likely see them overrun.

Prediction

Ajax are slight favourites to take the points. Their superior attacking output over five games, combined with a tighter defence, gives them a structural edge. Groningen's recent wins are notable, but they come against weaker opposition; Ajax represent a step up in quality. The visitors' possession-based approach should allow them to control proceedings, though Groningen's attacking threat—particularly after their recent displays—means both sides are likely to create chances. A competitive match with Ajax edging it is the most probable outcome.

Ajax to win, with a fairly open game in which both teams are likely to score. The visitors hold a narrow advantage in quality and consistency, but Groningen's recent form and home advantage ensure this will be contested.

Informações da partida

Torneios:

Eredivisie(Regular Season - 9)

Árbitro:

Dennis Higler

Estádio

Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen

Estatísticas

Comparativo de odds

Forma recente

Groningen
W
W
D
D
L
Ajax
W
L
D
D
W

Lesões e suspensões

Escalações

Classificação

#EquipePJVEDGPGCSGPts
1
Feyenoord
972031102123
2
AZ Alkmaar
962120101020
3
PSV Eindhoven
961227121519
4
Ajax
953127121518
5
Twente
95221710717
6
Fortuna Sittard
94321617-115
7
Groningen
94232219314
8
Heerenveen
93331511412
9
GO Ahead Eagles
92522021-111
10
Excelsior
93241618-211
11
Utrecht
93241626-1011
12
NEC Nijmegen
92431516-110
13
Sparta Rotterdam
92341622-69
14
Cambuur
92341321-89
15
PEC Zwolle
92161022-127
16
Telstar
91351018-86
17
ADO Den Haag
91351120-96
18
Willem II
9027926-172
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