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Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 12-11-2026
Nov 1219:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Olimpia Milano 82-89 Zalgiris Kaunas
Olimpia MilanoDrawZalgiris Kaunas
Olimpia Milano hosts Zalgiris Kaunas in Euroleague action on 12 November 2026. The hosts occupy 19th place with a 1–9 record after ten games, while Kaunas sit tenth with 6–4. The bookmaker consensus prices Kaunas as the clear favourite at 1.67, reflecting the visitors' superior form and league standing.
Team form
Olimpia Milano
Milano have endured a difficult campaign, losing all five of their most recent matches. Over that span they scored 84.4 points per game but conceded 94.2, a deficit that underscores their defensive struggles. Losses to Barcelona (81–89), Dubai (97–101), Real Madrid (89–98), Maccabi Tel Aviv (79–97) and Baskonia (76–86) show they have faced elite opposition, yet their inability to tighten their defence remains the core issue. Their offence has been reasonably productive in isolation, but it has not been enough to compensate.
Zalgiris Kaunas
Kaunas have built momentum in recent weeks. They have won four of their last five games, including a commanding 83–67 victory over Besiktas on 6 November. Over their last five matches, Kaunas averaged 87.2 points while holding opponents to 78.2 per game—a 9-point swing in their favour. They have demonstrated both offensive efficiency and defensive discipline, with wins against Partizan (87–80), Virtus Bologna (91–74) and Lyon-Villeurbanne (105–85) showcasing their ability to impose their game.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these sides in the available data.
Key factors
The defensive gap is decisive. Milano concede nearly 94 points per game; Kaunas have held recent opponents to 78.2. Kaunas' four-game winning streak has coincided with tighter perimeter defence and transition control, areas where Milano have been vulnerable. Kaunas also enjoy a +9 point differential over their last five outings, while Milano sit at –9. Home court offers Milano some support, but their current form does not suggest they can exploit it against a visiting side in such strong rhythm. Kaunas' ability to score efficiently (87.2 ppg) while controlling the pace should allow them to manage the contest.
Prediction
The model forecasts Kaunas to outscore Milano by a modest margin in regulation. Kaunas' recent defensive solidity and offensive consistency position them to control the tempo and limit Milano's scoring opportunities. Milano's offensive output, though respectable in volume, has consistently fallen short against quality opposition. The visitors' defensive intensity and their current winning form make them well-equipped to extend their streak. The bookmaker odds at 1.67 for Kaunas align with the underlying form differential.
Zalgiris Kaunas are favoured to win this contest. Their recent form, defensive discipline and league standing all point to a road victory. Milano will need a marked improvement in defensive execution to upset the visitors, and there is little in their recent record to suggest that is imminent. For fantasy league purposes, Kaunas' consistent contributors over their winning streak represent the safer play, while Milano's players offer higher variance and lower floor given the team's current struggles.
Match info
Tournaments:
Euroleague(2026)
Venue
Unipol Forum
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Olimpia Milano
L
L
L
L
L
Zalgiris Kaunas
W
W
W
W
L
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 10 | 8 | 2 | 862 |
| 2 |  Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 10 | 7 | 3 | 825 |
| 3 |  Valencia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 951 |
| 4 |  Fenerbahce | 10 | 7 | 3 | 803 |
| 5 |  Olympiacos | 10 | 7 | 3 | 847 |
| 6 |  Dubai | 10 | 7 | 3 | 880 |
| 7 |  Barcelona | 10 | 7 | 3 | 902 |
| 8 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 6 | 4 | 967 |
| 9 |  Hapoel Tel Aviv | 10 | 6 | 4 | 921 |
| 10 |  Zalgiris Kaunas | 10 | 6 | 4 | 856 |
| 11 |  Partizan Mozzart Bet | 10 | 5 | 5 | 784 |
| 12 |  Anadolu Efes | 10 | 4 | 6 | 842 |
| 13 |  Besiktas | 10 | 4 | 6 | 877 |
| 14 |  Paris | 10 | 4 | 6 | 890 |
| 15 |  Virtus Bologna | 10 | 4 | 6 | 856 |
| 16 |  Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10 | 4 | 6 | 883 |
| 17 |  Bayern | 10 | 3 | 7 | 868 |
| 18 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 10 | 2 | 8 | 847 |
| 19 |  Olimpia Milano | 10 | 1 | 9 | 811 |
| 20 |  Baskonia | 10 | 1 | 9 | 813 |
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Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas - Basketball Prediction & Betting Tips
Data-driven Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas basketball prediction on 365sport.tv factors in point spread expectations, quarter-by-quarter scoring patterns and offensive/defensive rating differentials. Our model evaluates bench depth, three-point shooting trends, rebounding battle projections and pace-of-play implications for point total predictions.
Our basketball analysis covers defensive perimeter coverage, pick-and-roll effectiveness, fast-break frequency and foul trouble implications for key players. Track shooting efficiency trends, turnover patterns and fourth-quarter momentum to find betting edges - all detailed predictions with odds comparisons available on 365sport.tv.