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Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 03-11-2026
Nov 322:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Mirassol
Chapecoense-scDrawMirassol
Over 2.5 goalsYes (58%)
Both teams to scoreYes (60%)
Chapecoense-sc host Mirassol at Arena Condá in Serie A Round 34, with the visitors holding a narrow edge in the betting markets. Mirassol arrive with a superior league position and a stronger defensive record, though both sides have struggled for consistency in recent weeks. This fixture carries added intrigue given Mirassol's dominance in the head-to-head record, winning three of the last five meetings.
Team form
Chapecoense-sc
Chapecoense-sc sit bottom of the table with 21 points from 32 games, having won only 4 matches all season. Their recent form is alarming: across the last five outings they have scored just 1 goal while conceding 9, averaging 0.2 goals for and 1.8 against per game. A 0-2 defeat at Bahia on 2026-07-17 typified their struggles, with the side managing only 35% possession and 2 shots on goal. The home side's season average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.06 conceded reflects a side battling at both ends of the pitch.
Mirassol
Mirassol occupy 16th place with 37 points from 33 games, a significant gap ahead of their hosts. Their recent record is equally concerning, however: they have lost four of their last five matches and managed only 2 goals across that span while shipping 8. A 0-2 loss to Flamengo on 2026-09-02 saw them hold 44% possession but register just 2 shots on goal. Season-wide, Mirassol average 1.12 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game—a more balanced profile than Chapecoense-sc, though their current form suggests they too are misfiring in attack.
Head-to-head
Mirassol hold a commanding head-to-head advantage, winning three of the last five meetings. The visitors won away in 2024 and 2023, and also triumphed at home in late 2024. The sole recent draw came on 2026-05-10 when the sides played out a 1-1 stalemate. This record underscores Mirassol's superiority in direct encounters and adds weight to their status as narrow favourites.
Key factors
Chapecoense-sc are without Heitor and Robert Conceicao through injury, while Vinicius Balieiro is also unavailable. Mirassol are missing Bruno Santos (red card) and Edson Carioca (suspension), with Negueba sidelined by injury. Both teams have struggled to score recently, yet the bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.58, suggesting an expectation of a more open contest than recent form implies. Mirassol's superior defensive record (1.42 goals conceded per game versus Chapecoense-sc's 2.06) may prove decisive if the visitors can maintain discipline.
Prediction
Mirassol's league position, defensive solidity, and head-to-head dominance combine to give them a narrow edge despite both sides' current form struggles. The visitors have conceded fewer goals on average and have won three of five recent meetings against this opponent. Chapecoense-sc's relegation-form attack—averaging just 0.2 goals per game over their last five—leaves them vulnerable. The bookmakers reflect this imbalance, pricing an away win at 1.99 against 3.45 for a home victory.
Mirassol are slight favourites to take the points. A fairly open game is likely, with both sides capable of finding the net given their respective defensive vulnerabilities, but the visitors' superior structure and recent head-to-head record suggest they should edge this encounter.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Chapecoense-sc
L
W
L
L
L
Mirassol
D
W
L
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 44 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 43 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 42 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 21 |
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Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Chapecoense-sc vs Mirassol football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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