Match Finished
Derio vs Beasain Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 04-10-2026
Oct 416:30
2 : 0
Match Prediction
Expected score: Derio 1-0 Beasain
DerioDrawBeasain
Over 2.5 goalsNo (31%)
Both teams to scoreNo (36%)
In this intriguing matchup in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, Derio will host Beasain at their home ground. With contrasting starts to the season, this fixture promises to be a tactical battle as both teams look to assert themselves in the league.
Team form
Derio
Derio has enjoyed a steady start, currently sitting in second place with two wins and two draws out of their first four matches, totaling eight points. Their defensive solidity, allowing only two goals so far, combined with an attacking average of 1.25 goals scored per game, suggests a well-balanced side. In their recent outings, they secured a 2-1 victory over Aretxabaleta and a convincing 2-0 win against Santurtzi, displaying their ability to capitalize on goal-scoring opportunities whilst maintaining a solid defensive organization.
Beasain
Beasain, positioned 15th, has had a rocky start to their campaign, managing only one win from four matches, resulting in four points. Their average of 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded indicates struggles in both attacking and defensive aspects of their game. In their latest meetings, they suffered losses to Durango (1-2) and Touring (0-2), showing vulnerabilities in their backline and lacking creativity in the final third during those contests.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these teams in their last four encounters leans in favor of Beasain, who has won three of those matches, including a notable 4-1 victory back in December 2024. Their most recent meetup ended with Beasain winning 2-0, suggesting a psychological edge. However, the significance of past results may diminish as Derio seeks to overturn their fortune against a team that has historically proven challenging for them.
Key factors
A critical factor in this match will be Derio's home advantage, competing on familiar ground which could play a significant role in their performance. The resilience of Beasain will also be crucial as they strive to overcome their recent setbacks; matching intensity with organized defense and quick counter-attacks could present them with chances to surprise Derio. Monitoring who can assert control of the midfield will also be essential as it will dictate the tempo and distribution of play, impacting goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Prediction
Considering Derio's strong start and home form juxtaposed with Beasain's defensive inconsistencies, the model anticipates that the home side will likely secure a victory. The expected goals are calculated at approximately 1.24 for Derio, compared to only 0.69 for Beasain, favoring a rather tight contest but with Derio's forward momentum poised to lead them to a victorious outcome.
Derio is predicted to emerge as the favorites in this encounter, likely achieving a decisive home win against Beasain, who will need to elevate their game for a fighting chance.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4(Group 4 - 5)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Derio
W
W
W
L
D
Beasain
L
L
L
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  Pasaia KE | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 |  Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad III | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Touring | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  R. Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Sodupe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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Derio vs Beasain - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Derio vs Beasain football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.