Match Finished
Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 04-10-2026
Oct 413:00
4 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Ternana 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio
TernanaDrawMontevarchi Calcio
Over 2.5 goalsNo (45%)
Both teams to scoreYes (50%)
Ternana will host Montevarchi Calcio in a Serie D - Girone E encounter at Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni, on October 4, 2026. Both teams are looking to secure points to improve their standings as the season progresses.
Team form
Ternana
Ternana's recent form shows they are struggling to gather momentum, sitting at 13th with just 5 points from their opening five matches. Their sole victory came at home against Tau Altopascio with a convincing 3-0 win, but they followed that with two losses and two drawn matches. Overall, they have averaged 1.00 goal scored and 0.80 conceded per game in the season. The home side must regain their scoring touch to compete effectively in this fixture.
Montevarchi Calcio
Montevarchi Calcio finds itself in a more favorable position, currently placed 10th with 7 points. They have demonstrated stronger attacking capabilities, averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game this season. Their recent match against Progresso, which resulted in a 2-0 victory, showcases their attacking potential. However, they have also suffered a hefty loss against Robur Siena (0-3) away and drew against Seravezza (1-1) before that, revealing some inconsistency.
Head-to-head
Historically, these two sides last met on July 23, 2022, where Ternana claimed a decisive 4-0 victory over Montevarchi Calcio. This prior encounter may influence the confidence levels of both teams, as Ternana managed a convincing win, indicating a psychological edge in this upcoming clash.
Key factors
For Ternana, finding a way to convert their home advantage into form could be crucial, particularly after scoring a total of just 5 goals so far. They must be resolute in their defense to maintain any hopes of claiming victory. Montevarchi Calcio's ability to exploit their capacity to score would play a fundamental role, especially considering their propensity to concede. If they can secure an early goal, they may hold the upper hand throughout the match.
Prediction
Utilizing statistical insights, Ternana is viewed as a plausible favorite in this match. Their expected goals score of approximately 1.344 suggests they have a favorable chance of capitalizing on scoring opportunities, particularly against a Montevarchi defense that can be vulnerable even in their successful outings. The predicted score of 1-0 to Ternana serves as a reference to their tactical advantage, given their historical performance against Montevarchi paired with the home-field factor. However, analysts remain cautious; the dynamics of the match may shift depending on performance on the day.
Considering the above factors, Ternana is likely to emerge victorious, albeit possibly in a closely contested affair.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie D - Girone E(Group E - 6)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Ternana
W
D
W
L
D
Montevarchi Calcio
L
W
L
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gavorrano | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 2 |  Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 |  Tau Altopascio | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Scandicci | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 |  Flaminia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 |  Seravezza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Robur Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Ternana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Terranuova Traiana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Mezzolara | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rondinella | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 |  Grassina | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
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Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Ternana vs Montevarchi Calcio football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.