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Cartagena LU II vs Santomera Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 04-11-2026
Nov 417:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Cartagena LU II 1-2 Santomera
Cartagena LU IIDrawSantomera
Over 2.5 goalsYes (84%)
Both teams to scoreYes (77%)
Cartagena LU II host Santomera in Tercera División RFEF Group 13 on 18 October, a fixture that pits the division's runaway leaders against a mid-table side struggling to find consistency. Santomera sit top with 16 points from six games, while Cartagena occupy 12th on 8 points. The gap tells the story: one team is firing on all cylinders, the other is treading water.
Team form
Cartagena LU II
Cartagena's recent record reads like a coin flip. They beat Bullas Deportivo 3-2 away and Los Garres 1-0, but sandwiched between those wins are losses and draws. The 1-2 home defeat to Algar and a goalless draw at SFC Minerva suggest fragility. Over their last five games they've scored 7 and conceded 6 — respectable numbers on paper, but the inconsistency is the real concern. They average 1.50 goals per game for the season and have shipped 1.67 per outing. At home, they'll need to tighten up.
Santomera
Santomera are a different animal entirely. Five games, five wins and a draw — they've dropped just one point all season. Their last five outings yielded 12 goals for and only 5 against. The 3-0 demolition of Balsicas and the 3-2 comeback win at Atlético Pulpileño show a side that scores freely and defends with discipline. Averaging 2.33 goals per game and conceding just 1.00, they're the class act in this group. Away form is no concern: they won at Bullas and Atlético Pulpileño without fuss.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head is a mixed bag but tilts Santomera's way. They've won twice at home (2-1 in May and January 2025), while the two meetings at Cartagena's ground ended level — 4-4 in January and 3-3 in September 2024. Cartagena can score and have shown they're capable of putting bodies forward, but Santomera's defensive solidity and clinical finishing make them dangerous opponents even when the hosts are at their best.
Key factors
Santomera's attacking threat is the dominant factor here. They've scored in every game this season and rarely concede more than one goal. Cartagena's leaky defence — 1.67 conceded per game — will be tested relentlessly. The visitors' midfield control and ability to transition quickly should overwhelm a Cartagena side that lacks the consistency to sustain pressure. Cartagena's home advantage is real but not enough to overcome the gulf in form and quality. Santomera's experience of winning tight contests and their ruthlessness on the road make them the favourite.
Prediction
Santomera are the favourite here, and the numbers back it. They're scoring freely, defending tightly, and haven't shown any signs of slowing down. Cartagena have moments but lack the sustained quality to trouble a side this well-drilled. The visitors' record away from home is strong, and they've already beaten Cartagena twice this year. A fairly open game is likely — both sides have shown they can score — but Santomera should have enough to win.
Back Santomera to take the points. They're the favourite and should have too much for a Cartagena side that remains unconvincing despite the occasional bright spark. Expect goals at both ends, but the visitors' superior finishing and defensive discipline should see them through.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13(Group 13 - 7)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Cartagena LU II
L
L
W
L
W
Santomera
W
W
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santomera | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 |  San Javier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 |  UCAM Murcia II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 |  Águilas II | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  Unión Molinense | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Bala Azul | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Atlético Pulpileño | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Los Garres | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Olímpico Totana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Cotillas CD | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 |  Balsicas Atlético | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Alcantarilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Cartagena LU II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 |  SFC Minerva | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Algar | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Bullas Deportivo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mazarrón FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
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Cartagena LU II vs Santomera - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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