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Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 04-11-2026
Nov 419:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Águilas II 1-1 UCAM Murcia II
Águilas IIDrawUCAM Murcia II
Over 2.5 goalsNo (42%)
Águilas II host UCAM Murcia II in Tercera División RFEF Group 13 on 18 October 2026, a fixture between two sides locked on 8 points after six matches. Both teams occupy the upper half of the table—Águilas II in seventh, UCAM Murcia II in sixth—but their trajectories and attacking output tell different stories. The visitors have scored 13 goals in six games; the hosts have managed 7. This disparity in firepower will shape how the market prices the match.
Team form
Águilas II
Águilas II have drawn four of their last five league games, a run interrupted only by a 2-0 away victory at SFC Minerva last weekend. Over the past five matches they have scored 1.2 goals per game and conceded 0.8, a defensive record that reflects their tendency to sit deep and absorb pressure. The 0-0 draw at home to Bala Azul and the 1-1 stalemate against Unión Molinense suggest a team more comfortable preventing goals than creating them. Their season average of 1.17 goals scored per match underscores a blunt attacking edge.
UCAM Murcia II
UCAM Murcia II present a starkly different profile. Their 5-1 demolition of Mazarrón FC at home last week showcases an attacking threat that has yielded 2.4 goals per game over their last five outings. A 1-0 defeat at Olímpico Totana and draws against San Javier and Cartagena LU II suggest inconsistency, yet their season average of 2.17 goals scored per match ranks them among the group's more prolific sides. They have conceded 1.0 per game in recent form, indicating a defence less assured than Águilas II's.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these clubs offers little clarity. Their four most recent meetings have produced two draws—including a 2-2 stalemate in May 2026—and two decisive results, one to each side. Águilas II won 3-0 at home in February 2025; UCAM Murcia II prevailed 3-2 away in October 2024. The pattern suggests vulnerability for both teams when travelling, though the May draw came at Águilas II's ground.
Key factors
The central tension is UCAM Murcia II's attacking potency against Águilas II's defensive solidity. Águilas II have conceded only 5 goals in 6 games; UCAM Murcia II have scored 13. However, UCAM Murcia II's away record is mixed, and Águilas II's home form—five matches yielding one win and four draws—suggests a team that frustrates opponents without always breaking through themselves. Set pieces and transition play will likely determine who breaks the deadlock. Águilas II's recent clean sheets indicate organised defending; UCAM Murcia II's recent output suggests they will create chances.
Prediction
The expected goals forecast sits at 1.19 for the hosts and 1.17 for the visitors, a near-parity that reflects the tactical standoff. Águilas II's defensive discipline and UCAM Murcia II's attacking intent are almost perfectly balanced. The betting market leans marginally toward a home win, but the probabilities—36% for Águilas II, 35% for the away side, and 29% for a draw—reveal a match too close to separate. The predicted score of 1-1 aligns with both teams' recent patterns: Águilas II capable of scoring once at home, UCAM Murcia II likely to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities.
This is a dead-heat contest. Águilas II edge the pick by the narrowest margin, but the match is too evenly poised to justify conviction in any outcome. The draw is a genuine possibility, and both teams carry enough threat to score. The betting market reflects genuine uncertainty, and that uncertainty is justified by the underlying form and head-to-head history. Tactical analysts should expect a cagey, low-scoring affair where one moment of quality could decide the day.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13(Group 13 - 7)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Águilas II
W
W
W
D
D
UCAM Murcia II
W
W
W
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santomera | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 |  San Javier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 |  UCAM Murcia II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 |  Águilas II | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  Unión Molinense | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Bala Azul | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Atlético Pulpileño | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Los Garres | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Olímpico Totana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Cotillas CD | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 |  Balsicas Atlético | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Alcantarilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Cartagena LU II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 |  SFC Minerva | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Algar | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Bullas Deportivo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mazarrón FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
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Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Águilas II vs UCAM Murcia II football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.