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Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 05-09-2026
Sep 514:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Burnley 1-0 Bristol City
BurnleyDrawBristol City
Over 2.5 goalsYes (51%)
Both teams to scoreYes (52%)
In this Championship clash at Turf Moor, Burnley hosts Bristol City as both teams seek points to further their goals this season. Burnley currently find themselves at the bottom of the table, desperately in need of a win, while Bristol City is aiming to build on their strong start and secure a place among the playoff contenders.
Team form
Burnley
Burnley's recent form has been concerning as they remain winless in their last five fixtures, recording one draw and four losses. Their last match ended in a disappointing 1-4 defeat against Norwich. This performance reflects their struggles in both scoring and defending, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 2.4 per game over their last five outings. They have found it difficult to maintain possession, demonstrating some tactical deficiencies despite having a solid average of 63% possession in their earlier matches. Coach Nicky Hayen will need to strategize effectively to turn their fortunes around and secure crucial points at home.
Bristol City
Bristol City comes into this match on a brighter note, earning a win against Preston in their latest match with a score of 3-1. Overall, they secured two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game while also conceding 1.4. Their performances showcase a more balanced team compared to Burnley, driven by key players like goalkeeper S. Tickle and forward L. Tolaj, who not only contribute defensively but also in attack. Coach Michael Skubala's strategy seems efficient, and they'll be keen to continue this positive momentum, particularly in away fixtures.
Head-to-head
In their last five meetings, Burnley holds a slight edge with three victories to Bristol City’s two. The most recent encounter ended with Burnley claiming a narrow 1-0 victory. Historically, matchups between these sides have been closely contested, indicating an environment where neither team can afford complacency. This could lead to a potentially thrilling contest as both teams eye crucial points toward their respective objectives.
Key factors
Burnley's reliance on attacking plays will be a pivotal factor against Bristol City’s defence, which, while inconsistent, has recently shown resilience. Key players such as Josh Laurent for Burnley can earmark offensive threats. Meanwhile, for Bristol City, maintaining composure and efficiency in front of goal will be critical as they look to sustain their soaring form. Strategic tweaks by both coaches could make a significant difference; solidifying defense while exploiting the opposing weaknesses may determine the outcome of this match.
Prediction
Considering current form and statistical data, Burnley is slightly favoured to clinch a home win. They will be eager to snap their losing streak and find renewed confidence in front of their home crowd. Conversely, Bristol City’s strong performances, despite some defensive vulnerabilities, indicate an ability to trouble Burnley’s struggling defense. Overall, the match is anticipated to be competitive, reflecting both teams' aspirations.
With Burnley aiming for revival and Bristol City seeking to consolidate their playoff push, expect a tightly contested contest that ultimately sees Burnley emerge victorious. Their light edge as the home team and recent head-to-head successes lend it a clear advantage, despite the match's potential for a close finish.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Burnley
D
L
D
L
D
Bristol City
W
W
D
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 |  QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 |  Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |  Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 |  West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 |  Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Derby | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Lincoln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 21 |  Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stoke City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 24 |  Preston | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
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Burnley vs Bristol City - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Burnley vs Bristol City football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.