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Cruzeiro vs Bahia Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 06-11-2026
Nov 600:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Cruzeiro 2-1 Bahia
CruzeiroDrawBahia
Over 2.5 goalsYes (66%)
Both teams to scoreYes (65%)
Cruzeiro host Bahia at Estádio Mineirão in Serie A's 34th round, a matchup between third-placed hosts and sixth-placed visitors. The home side hold a three-point advantage and will be favoured to extend their edge in the standings. Both teams arrive with contrasting recent trajectories that merit close examination.
Team form
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro's last five outings reveal inconsistency. They opened with a heavy 1-4 defeat at São Paulo, then recovered to beat Vitória 3-0 at home before drawing 0-0 with Santos. Two further losses—1-2 away to Atlético Paranaense and a 3-3 draw at home to Vasco da Gama—suggest defensive vulnerability. Over these five matches they scored 8 and conceded 9, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.8 against. For the season, however, they maintain a respectable 1.58 scored and 1.39 conceded per game, underpinning their third-place finish with 57 points from 33 matches.
Bahia
Bahia's recent form appears more stable. They won 2-0 at home against Chapecoense, lost 1-2 to Palmeiras, then claimed a 3-0 victory over Atlético Paranaense. A 1-4 away defeat at Remo was followed by a 2-0 home win over RB Bragantino. Across these five games they scored 9 and conceded 6, averaging 1.8 and 1.2 respectively—notably tighter in defence than Cruzeiro's recent record. Their season averages of 1.45 scored and 1.27 conceded per game reflect a more disciplined setup, though they sit sixth with 53 points.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these sides spans several years. Of their last five meetings, two ended goalless (2019 and 2018), Bahia won 1-0 at home in 2017, and Cruzeiro prevailed twice away from home—2-1 in 2014 and 3-1 in 2013. The pattern suggests Cruzeiro hold a slight historical edge, particularly in away fixtures, though recent encounters have often been tightly contested.
Key factors
Cruzeiro's home advantage is significant; they occupy third place and will command possession and territory. However, their recent defensive lapses—conceding 9 goals in five games—present an opening for Bahia's improving attack. Bahia's tighter defensive discipline (1.2 conceded per game recently) and their ability to score on the road could make them a threat on the counter. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.52, reflecting genuine attacking potential from both sides. Cruzeiro's 4-2-3-1 formation offers midfield control, while Bahia's 4-3-3 setup provides defensive stability and width.
Prediction
Cruzeiro emerge as the favourite given their league position, home venue, and historical record against Bahia. Their season-long scoring average of 1.58 per game should trouble a visiting defence, even one that has tightened recently. Bahia's defensive improvement is noteworthy, but Cruzeiro's midfield depth and attacking options—particularly through the creative channels—should generate sufficient pressure. The bookmakers' odds of 1.71 for a home win reflect this assessment. A fairly open contest appears likely, with both teams capable of finding the net.
Cruzeiro are favoured to win this encounter. Their superior league position and home advantage outweigh Bahia's recent defensive solidity. Expect a competitive match with goals at both ends, though the hosts should edge the result.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Cruzeiro
W
W
W
L
W
Bahia
W
D
L
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 73 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 70 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 43 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 42 |
| 12 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 |
| 16 |  Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 35 |
| 19 |  Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 21 |
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Cruzeiro vs Bahia - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Cruzeiro vs Bahia football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.