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Vila Nova vs Cuiaba Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-10-2026
Oct 723:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Vila Nova 1-0 Cuiaba
Vila NovaDrawCuiaba
Over 2.5 goalsNo (38%)
Both teams to scoreNo (43%)
As Vila Nova prepares to host Cuiaba in the Serie B - Regular Season on October 7, 2026, this matchup is crucial for both sides, with Vila Nova sitting atop the table and Cuiaba positioned mid-table. The stakes for maintaining or improving their standings are high for both teams.
Team form
Vila Nova
Vila Nova boasts an impressive home record, having secured 17 wins, 6 draws, and only 8 losses this season. Their most recent five fixtures show a bit of unpredictability, with two draws, two wins, and one loss, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. With their current form, they will be looking to dominate possession again, aided by a solid midfield led by Joao Vieira and Nathan Camargo, which has consistently supported their forward play.
Cuiaba
Cuiaba, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results recently. Their last five appearances saw them earning two wins, with as many draws and a loss. They average 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 goals conceded in these games. They tend to rely on a more defensive 4-4-2 formation under Coach Eduardo Barros, focusing on counter-attacks, which may limit their chances at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Head-to-head
Historically, the matches between Vila Nova and Cuiaba have favored Vila Nova, as they have won three of their last five encounters. The last meeting in April 2024 saw Villa Nova clinch a solid 2-0 victory. The contrasting form of both teams hitting the pitch adds an interesting narrative to their head-to-head rivalry—a factor both coaches will exploit strategically in the upcoming matchup.
Key factors
Home advantage plays a significant role given Vila Nova's willingness to control the tempo of their games. Their formation transition from defense to attack, particularly through the performances of Dellatorre and Janderson, is vital in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Conversely, Cuiaba will need a tight defensive performance, particularly from Gabriel and Calebe Costa, to withstand potential scoring threats and capitalize on counter-attacks, possibly unleashing Vinicius Peixoto on breaks.
Prediction
The statistical model predicts Vila Nova as slight favorites in this matchup, reflecting their position on the table and home advantage, while Cuiaba's recent form raises questions about its effectiveness against top opposition. Expect a tightly contested game where output could depend heavily on converting few opportunities that arise. Vila Nova's solid home display and Cuiaba's inconsistencies suggest a potential scoreline favoring the home side.
Based on the current data and analysis, a home win for Vila Nova appears to be the most likely outcome, particularly given their commanding position in the league and historical performance against Cuiaba.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie B(Regular Season - 32)
Referee:
Maguielson Lima Barbosa
Stadium
Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Vila Nova
W
W
W
D
W
Cuiaba
W
L
W
D
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vila Nova | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 57 |
| 2 |  Juventude | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 56 |
| 3 |  Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54 |
| 4 |  Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 |  Atletico Goianiense | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 52 |
| 7 |  CRB | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 48 |
| 8 |  Operario-PR | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 |  Sport Recife | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 47 |
| 10 |  Cuiaba | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 46 |
| 11 |  São Bernardo | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45 |
| 12 |  Goias | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42 |
| 13 |  Nautico Recife | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 42 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 42 |
| 15 |  Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 39 |
| 16 |  Botafogo SP | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35 |
| 17 |  Avai | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 28 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 17 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 13 |
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Vila Nova vs Cuiaba - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Vila Nova vs Cuiaba football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.