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Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 713:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Akhmat 2-1 Rodina Moskva
AkhmatDrawRodina Moskva
Over 2.5 goalsYes (61%)
Both teams to scoreYes (63%)
Akhmat hosts Rodina Moskva at Akhmat-Arena in Groznyj on matchday 14 of the Russian Premier League. The hosts sit 15th with 11 points from 13 games, while visitors occupy 12th with 12 points. Both sides arrive with modest records and will be looking to climb the table in what shapes as a competitive encounter between two mid-table strugglers.
Team form
Akhmat
Akhmat's recent record is mixed. They drew 1-1 away at Lokomotiv on 26 July, their most recent league outing. Across their last five matches, the side has scored 11 goals and conceded 6, averaging 2.2 per game offensively and 1.2 defensively—figures that exceed their season average of 1.15 scored and 1.46 conceded. That uptick suggests some attacking intent, though consistency remains elusive in the league where they have managed only two wins in 13 games.
Rodina Moskva
Rodina Moskva's form is concerning. They have drawn 0-0 away at Lokomotiv on 27 June and have won just three of their 13 league matches. Over their last five outings, they scored only 3 goals and conceded 6, averaging 0.6 per game in attack and 1.2 in defence. That attacking output is well below their season average of 1.15 scored, indicating a side struggling to create and convert chances. Three losses in their last five matches underline a difficult spell.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these sides, so this fixture offers no historical precedent to guide prediction.
Key factors
Akhmat's home advantage and superior recent attacking output form the foundation of their case. They averaged 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches and generated 1.78 expected goals in their most recent outing, suggesting they can trouble Rodina's leaky defence, which has conceded 28 goals in 13 league games. Rodina's attacking frailty—0.6 goals per game in their last five—is a major concern against a host side that, despite league struggles, has shown more offensive threat. Rodina's defensive record is also poor: 2.15 goals conceded per game on the season. The visitors' inability to score and their vulnerability at the back create an imbalance that favours the home side.
Prediction
Akhmat hold a slight favourite status. The bookmakers price the home win at 1.74, reflecting a 57% implied probability. The model aligns with this view: Akhmat are marginally more likely to prevail. The hosts' recent attacking form, home-ground advantage, and Rodina's poor scoring record tilt the balance. Both teams are capable of scoring—the data suggests a fairly open game with both sides likely to find the net—but Akhmat should create the clearer chances and convert more of them. The predicted score of 2-1 reflects a home victory with both sides registering goals.
Back Akhmat to win. They hold a narrow edge over Rodina Moskva and should have enough attacking threat to overcome a visiting side mired in a poor run. The odds of 1.74 offer fair value for a home win in a match where both teams are expected to score.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Akhmat
L
D
L
L
L
Rodina Moskva
W
L
W
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 |
| 2 |  Dynamo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 28 |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 |  FC Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 |  FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 |  Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rubin | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 12 |  Rodina Moskva | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Akron | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Akhmat | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
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Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.