Match Finished
Auxerre vs Paris FC Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 718:00
0 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Auxerre 1-2 Paris FC
AuxerreDrawParis FC
Over 2.5 goalsYes (66%)
Both teams to scoreYes (62%)
Auxerre host Paris FC at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps in Ligue 1 Round 10, with the visitors arriving as favourites. Paris FC sit fourth on 17 points from nine games, while Auxerre languish in 14th with just 10 points. The gap in quality and consistency between these sides is substantial, and the bookmakers have priced this accordingly.
Team form
Auxerre
Auxerre's recent record makes for difficult reading. They lost 1-5 at Strasbourg last time out and have won only three of their opening nine matches. Over their last five games, they have scored 8 goals but conceded 12, averaging 2.4 per outing. The 36% possession and 0.5 expected goals in their last fixture against Strasbourg tell the story of a side struggling to impose itself. Only the 3-1 win at Le Havre on 18 October offers genuine encouragement.
Paris FC
Paris FC have been far more convincing. They won 3-1 at home to Monaco most recently and have taken 17 points from nine games with five victories. Over their last five matches, they have scored 10 and conceded just 8. Their attacking threat was evident in the Monaco win, and the 2.07 expected goals and 10 shots on goal in that performance demonstrate their ability to create and finish chances. They have lost only twice this season.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these clubs offers mixed signals. Paris FC won 2-1 at Auxerre in February 2022 and 2-0 away in October 2018, but Auxerre claimed a 2-0 home victory in October 2015. Two of the five meetings have ended in draws. However, recent form and current league position suggest Paris FC are the stronger proposition now.
Key factors
Paris FC's defensive solidity—conceding just 1.11 goals per game this season compared to Auxerre's 2.56—will be crucial. Auxerre's vulnerability at the back was exposed brutally at Strasbourg, and Paris FC have the attacking quality to exploit that. The visitors' midfield, anchored by players who delivered in their last outing, should control possession and tempo. Auxerre will need to be compact and clinical on the counter, but their recent form suggests they lack the cutting edge required.
Prediction
Paris FC are the favourite and the data supports it convincingly. They are superior in league position, recent form, and underlying metrics. Auxerre have conceded 23 goals in nine games and face an opponent averaging 1.78 goals scored per match. The visitors' defensive record and attacking efficiency make them the more likely winners. A Paris FC victory is the primary expectation, though Auxerre's home advantage and the unpredictability of football mean this is not a formality.
Paris FC should prevail in what looks a fairly open game in terms of total goals. Both teams are capable of scoring, but the visitors' quality and consistency make them the more likely winner. Back Paris FC to take three points.
Match info
Tournaments:
Ligue 1(Regular Season - 10)
Referee:
Marc Bollengier
Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Auxerre
L
D
W
L
W
Paris FC
W
L
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 2 |  Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
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Auxerre vs Paris FC - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Auxerre vs Paris FC football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.