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Expected score: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone
Cagliari host Frosinone at Unipol Domus in Serie A's 11th round, with the visitors arriving as narrow favourites despite the home side's recent steadiness. Frosinone sit sixth on 20 points from 10 games, while Cagliari occupy 12th with 13 points. This is a clash between contrasting trajectories — one side surging, the other searching for consistency.
Team form
Cagliari
Cagliari have won just one of their last five Serie A outings, that victory coming away at Udinese. A catastrophic 0-4 defeat at Monza on 19 October has left deep scars, though they did salvage a 1-1 draw at home to Juventus the week before. Over these five matches they have scored 5 and conceded 6, averaging 0.90 goals per game across the season. The hosts are fragile defensively, conceding 1.50 per game on average, and will need to tighten up considerably here.
Frosinone
Frosinone are in electrifying form. They have won three of their last five, including a dominant 2-0 victory over Torino most recently and a stunning 5-1 demolition of Lecce. Even their draw against Atalanta saw them score 4 goals. Over these five matches they have netted 15 and conceded just 10, averaging 2.40 goals per game this season. Their attacking threat is formidable, and they arrive with genuine momentum.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is mixed but leans slightly Frosinone's way. In their most recent meeting in January 2024, Frosinone won 3-1 at home. Before that, the sides drew twice and Cagliari claimed a home victory in 2019. Frosinone have shown they can dominate this fixture when in form, and their current trajectory suggests they will be dangerous.
Key factors
Frosinone's attacking prowess is the standout factor. They score at nearly 2.4 goals per game and have shown they can put multiple past strong defences. Cagliari's defensive vulnerability — 1.50 conceded per game — makes them vulnerable to Frosinone's creative midfield, particularly the form players in their ranks. Cagliari's injury to Riyad Idrissi further weakens their options. The visitors' possession control and shot efficiency in their last outing (8 shots on goal from 46% possession) hints at clinical finishing. Cagliari will need to be compact and clinical on the counter, but their recent form suggests they lack the sharpness.
Prediction
Frosinone hold a narrow edge. Their superior league position, attacking output, and recent form all point to the visitors as marginally more likely to take the points. Cagliari have shown resilience in patches — the draw with Juventus proved they can compete — but Frosinone's consistency and goal-scoring threat make them slight favourites. A fairly open game looks likely, with both sides capable of finding the net.
Back Frosinone to win. The visitors' attacking prowess and current momentum give them a narrow advantage over a Cagliari side that, despite home advantage, have looked vulnerable defensively and inconsistent in recent weeks. Expect goals at both ends, but Frosinone's superior finishing should prove decisive.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 |
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Cagliari vs Frosinone - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Cagliari vs Frosinone football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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