Not Started
FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 716:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: FC Krasnodar 1-1 CSKA Moscow
FC KrasnodarDrawCSKA Moscow
Both teams to scoreYes (60%)
FC Krasnodar host CSKA Moscow in Premier League Round 14 at Ozon Arena. The visitors sit third with 26 points from 13 games, while Krasnodar occupy fifth place on 23 points. Both sides have identical scoring records across the season—1.62 goals per game—but Moscow's defence has been notably tighter, conceding just 0.92 per outing against Krasnodar's 1.23. The head-to-head record offers little clarity: three draws and one home win for each side across their last five meetings.
Team form
FC Krasnodar
Krasnodar's recent league form is sharp. They beat Fakel 3-2 at home and won 3-1 away at Rubin in their last two Premier League outings. Across their last five competitive matches, they scored 15 goals and conceded 8, averaging 3.0 and 1.6 per game respectively. However, that sample includes friendly fixtures; in league play alone, they have won twice in their last two. Their defensive solidity remains a question mark—they conceded twice to Fakel despite winning, and their season average of 1.23 goals conceded per game ranks below Moscow's defensive record.
CSKA Moscow
Moscow's recent form is troubling. Their sole victory in their last five matches came 2-1 at home against Baltika in their most recent Premier League outing. Before that, they lost three consecutive friendlies—0-2 to Lokomotiv, 0-2 to Orenburg, and 2-5 to Dynamo—and drew 1-1 with Arsenal Tula. Across those five games, they managed just 5 goals while conceding 10, averaging 1.0 and 2.0 per game. The defensive vulnerabilities exposed in pre-season friendlies are a genuine concern, even if the Baltika result offered a brief reprieve. Their league position masks a team struggling to find rhythm away from home.
Head-to-head
The last five head-to-head meetings tell a story of stalemate. Three of the five ended in draws, including the most recent in 2020 (1-1) and the two before that in 2019 and 2017 (both 1-1). Krasnodar won 2-0 at home in 2019 and Moscow won 1-0 away in 2017. There is no clear pattern of dominance, though Krasnodar's home record in this fixture stands at two wins, two draws and one loss.
Key factors
Krasnodar's attacking intent at home contrasts sharply with Moscow's defensive frailty on the road. The hosts' recent league victories have been built on aggressive football—3-2 and 3-1 scorelines suggest an openness that could expose them if Moscow's attack finds space. Moscow's midfield, anchored by Matvey Kislyak and Ivan Oblyakov, will need to control possession to limit Krasnodar's transitions. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.62, reflecting the attacking potential on both sides despite Moscow's recent struggles. Possession and pass accuracy data from their last outings—56% and 84% for Krasnodar, 65% and 83% for Moscow—suggest Moscow will likely dominate the ball, but Krasnodar's threat on the counter cannot be ignored.
Prediction
The statistical model identifies this as a genuine toss-up. Both sides average identical goals scored per season, and while Moscow's defence is superior, their recent form away from home is poor. Krasnodar's home record is stronger, but they remain vulnerable at the back. The head-to-head record of three draws in five meetings hints at a pattern of closely contested affairs. The model expects goals at both ends, with the balance of chances even. The top predicted outcomes cluster around draws and low-scoring results, reflecting the uncertainty.
This match is too close to separate. The model leans toward a home win on the toss of a coin, but the evidence supports a competitive game where either side could prevail or the teams could cancel each other out. Krasnodar's home form and attacking record offer a marginal edge, but Moscow's league position and defensive record keep them firmly in contention. Expect a tight contest with both teams capable of scoring.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
FC Krasnodar
L
W
D
D
L
CSKA Moscow
D
W
W
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 |
| 2 |  Dynamo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 28 |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 |  FC Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 |  FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 |  Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rubin | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 12 |  Rodina Moskva | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Akron | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Akhmat | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
Other Football matches
FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.