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Expected score: Fulham 1-0 Newcastle
Fulham host Newcastle at Craven Cottage in a Premier League clash between two sides searching for consistency. The hosts sit 15th with 9 points from 9 games, while Newcastle occupy 12th with 11 points from 8 matches. Both teams have shown they can compete but have also struggled with defensive solidity, setting up an intriguing encounter in round 10 of the season.
Team form
Fulham
Fulham have taken 5 points from their last five games—two wins, two draws and a loss. They beat Coventry 1-0 away and Hull City 1-0 at home, but drew 1-1 with Aston Villa most recently. Over that run they've scored 5 and conceded 4. In their last outing, they created chances (2.23 expected goals) and held 55% possession, suggesting they can build play, though they haven't converted dominance into wins consistently. Their season average of 1.00 goal scored per game reflects a blunt attacking edge.
Newcastle
Newcastle's form is more volatile. They won 2-0 at Crystal Palace but have also lost heavily—4-1 to Coventry and 4-1 to Leeds in their last five. They did beat Hull City 2-1 at home. Over five games they've scored 6 but conceded 10, a concerning defensive record. In their most recent match they managed only 1.03 expected goals and 2 shots on goal, showing they can be subdued. Their season average of 1.75 goals conceded per game underlines why they sit mid-table despite decent attacking output.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record slightly favours Newcastle historically. In their last five meetings, Newcastle won three times (including two at home in 2013), Fulham won once away in 2017, and they drew once in 2018. However, that 2017 away win for Fulham (3-1) and the recent draw suggest the fixture remains competitive. Home advantage at Craven Cottage will carry weight here.
Key factors
Fulham's possession control and chance creation (55% and 2.23 xG in their last match) give them a platform, but they must convert. Newcastle's defensive fragility—10 goals conceded in five games—is a vulnerability Fulham can exploit. Conversely, Newcastle's attacking threat remains real; they scored twice against Palace and Hull recently. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.54, reflecting the likelihood of an open game. Fulham's home record (1-0 wins over Hull and Coventry) suggests they can be effective at Craven Cottage, though their overall goal tally remains modest.
Prediction
Fulham edge this as the home side with better recent form at Craven Cottage and a tactical setup geared to control possession. Newcastle's defensive inconsistency and mixed recent form away from home work against them. However, this is a tight match—Fulham's attacking output remains a concern, and Newcastle have shown they can score in bursts. The balance of play and recent results give the hosts a slight edge, but Newcastle's quality means this will be competitive.
Back Fulham to win. They have the home advantage, better recent control of matches, and face a Newcastle side whose defensive record invites pressure. It's a finely balanced affair with both teams capable of scoring, but the hosts' possession and recent Craven Cottage form make them the marginally better bet for fantasy purposes. Monitor team news on Fulham's attacking options and Newcastle's back line before confirming your selections.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
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Fulham vs Newcastle - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Fulham vs Newcastle football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.