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Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 712:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Leeds 1-0 Tottenham
LeedsDrawTottenham
Over 2.5 goalsNo (36%)
Both teams to scoreNo (42%)
Leeds host Tottenham at Elland Road in a Premier League clash that pits two sides searching for consistency against each other. After nine games, both teams sit in mid-table with identical records of 12 and 11 points respectively, making this a genuine six-pointer for either side looking to climb the standings. The visitors arrive as the slight favourites in the betting, but the underlying form suggests this could go either way.
Team form
Leeds
Leeds have struggled to build momentum, taking just 2 wins from their opening 9 games. Their recent record reads poorly: a 0-2 defeat at Bournemouth last time out, sandwiched between draws with Sunderland and Manchester United. Over their last five matches, they've scored only 2 goals while conceding 5, averaging just 0.4 goals per game. That defensive fragility will concern fantasy managers, though Daniel Farke's 3-4-2-1 setup offers some protection. Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the line, but the attacking output has been anaemic.
Tottenham
Tottenham have shown sharper teeth in recent weeks, winning 2 of their last 5 with victories over Chelsea and Coventry. They've scored 8 goals in that span—1.6 per game—suggesting their attack is firing. Ruben De Zerbi's 4-2-3-1 formation has brought structure, and Mohamed Kudus, James Maddison and Micky van de Ven form a solid spine. The concern is inconsistency: three draws and three defeats in nine games reveal a side that hasn't yet found a winning rhythm, despite the recent uptick.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Tottenham heavily. They've won three of the last five meetings, including a 4-3 thriller at home in 2022 and a 3-0 demolition in January 2021. Leeds' sole victory came at Elland Road in 2013. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 in May, but Tottenham's dominance in this fixture is clear.
Key factors
Leeds' defensive record this season—0.89 goals conceded per game—suggests they can keep things tight, but their attack (1.00 per game) lacks penetration. Tottenham's recent form shows they can break teams down, yet their inconsistency means they're vulnerable to being caught out. Set pieces could be crucial given both sides' reliance on structure. Fantasy managers should watch for Maddison's creativity and whether Calvert-Lewin can finally get service. The bookmakers price both teams to score at just under 60%, hinting at a cagey affair.
Prediction
This is genuinely too close to separate. Tottenham's superior recent form and head-to-head advantage suggest they carry a slight lean, but Leeds' home record and defensive solidity at Elland Road cannot be ignored. The expected goals favour Tottenham marginally, and their attacking threat over the last fortnight gives them the slightest edge. However, the gap between the top two outcomes is razor-thin, and a draw remains very much in play. A low-scoring affair looks most likely, with both defences likely to frustrate.
Back Tottenham as the lean, but do so with caution—this match is too tight to call with confidence. For fantasy purposes, Maddison and Kudus offer attacking potential, while Calvert-Lewin remains a punt if Leeds can fashion chances. The under 2.5 goals market appeals given the defensive shape of both sides and their recent scoring struggles. Expect a tense, competitive encounter where fine margins decide it.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Leeds
L
D
D
L
D
Tottenham
W
W
W
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
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Leeds vs Tottenham - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Leeds vs Tottenham football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.