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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 717:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Manchester City
Nottingham ForestDrawManchester City
Nottingham Forest host Manchester City at the City Ground in a Premier League clash that pits a struggling home side against a wounded but still formidable visitor. Forest sit 19th with just 6 points from 9 games, while City occupy second place with 21 points, though both teams arrive in difficult form. This is a David versus Goliath encounter where the underdog will need to dig deep.
Team form
Nottingham Forest
Forest's season has been a nightmare. They've won just once in their opening 9 games and lost four of their last five, including a 0-2 defeat at Brentford most recently. Over those five matches they've managed only 2 goals while conceding 8. The attack has dried up completely—they're averaging 0.67 goals per game for the season—and defensively they're leaking chances at an alarming rate (1.33 conceded per game). Oliver Glasner's side showed some promise with 58% possession against Brentford but managed just one shot on goal, which tells you everything about their clinical finishing problems.
Manchester City
City's recent record is equally concerning, having lost two of their last three games to Brighton and Aston Villa. However, their underlying quality remains evident. They scored 12 goals across those five matches and conceded only 8, averaging 2.4 per game going forward. Their last outing saw them create 1.96 expected goals and register 6 shots on target, demonstrating that Enzo Maresca's side still generates attacking threat consistently. The loss to Brighton appears an aberration rather than a trend.
Head-to-head
City dominate the recent head-to-head record. They've won three of the last five meetings, including a 6-0 demolition at home in August 2022 and a 3-0 victory in September 2023. Forest's only positive result came in a 1-1 draw at the City Ground in February 2023, with a more recent 2-2 draw in March 2026 offering the hosts their best recent memory. City's home record against Forest has been particularly brutal.
Key factors
Forest's defensive fragility is the elephant in the room. They've conceded in four of their last five games and face a City side averaging 2.22 goals per game this season. Conversely, Forest's attacking impotence—just 6 goals in 9 games—makes it hard to see them breaking down City's backline, which has conceded only 10 goals all season. City's midfield dominance, anchored by players like Rodri and Enzo Fernández, should control possession and tempo. Forest will likely sit deep and hope for set-piece opportunities, but City's experience in these situations gives them the edge.
Prediction
The gap in quality and form is stark. City, despite recent losses, remain second in the table and possess far superior attacking and defensive metrics. Forest are in genuine relegation trouble and have shown little attacking intent. The bookmakers price City as the favourite, and the underlying numbers support it. City should dominate possession and create more clear-cut chances. Forest may frustrate them early, but City's quality should eventually tell.
Back Manchester City as away winners. They're the favourite here and should have too much for a Forest side struggling at both ends of the pitch. Expect City to control the game and convert their chances. A fairly open contest in terms of goals, but City's superiority should shine through.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Nottingham Forest
L
D
L
L
L
Manchester City
L
D
L
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.