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Osasuna vs Athletic Club Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 07-11-2026
Nov 717:30
1 : 1
Match Prediction
Expected score: Osasuna 0-1 Athletic Club
OsasunaDrawAthletic Club
Osasuna host Athletic Club at Estadio El Sadar in La Liga's 12th round, a clash that pits a struggling home side against a visitor in considerably better form. The hosts sit 15th with 11 points from 11 games, while Athletic occupy 7th with 15 points from 10. This is a mismatch on paper, and the numbers back that impression.
Team form
Osasuna
Osasuna are in freefall. Over their last five matches they have scored just 5 goals while conceding 17—that is 3.4 per game, a catastrophic rate. Their sole bright spot came in a 1-1 draw at home to Rayo Vallecano; otherwise it has been losses, including a 5-2 hammering at Real Betis and a 5-2 thrashing at Alaves. Even accounting for the fact that they managed 1.57 expected goals in their most recent outing against Betis, the defensive frailty is genuine and alarming. Coach Luis Miguel Ramis has them set up in a 4-4-2, but the shape is offering little protection.
Athletic Club
Athletic Club have won two of their last five and lost only once—to Levante 1-3 away. They drew 0-0 at home to Alaves and 1-1 at home to Elche, but crucially beat Atletico Madrid 3-0 at home and Celta Vigo 2-0 away. Their defensive record is sharp: 0.8 goals conceded per game over this run. They generated 1.95 expected goals in their last match despite losing, suggesting they are creating chances. Under Terzić's 4-2-3-1, they look compact and purposeful.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is heavily skewed. In their last five meetings, Athletic have won four and drawn one, with Osasuna failing to win any of them. Athletic won 3-1 at home in 2011, 1-0 in 2012, 2-0 in 2013, and drew 1-1 in 2016. The pattern is clear: Athletic dominate this fixture.
Key factors
Osasuna's leaky defence is the elephant in the room. Conceding 2.0 goals per game on average this season and 3.4 over their last five is unsustainable. Athletic, by contrast, have tightened up and are averaging just 1.0 goal conceded per game. Osasuna's attack is also muted at 1.0 per game. Athletic's superior possession and control—62% in their last match versus Osasuna's 48%—suggests they will dictate play. The visitors' recent record against top sides (beating Atletico Madrid 3-0) shows they can perform on the road.
Prediction
Athletic Club are a slight favourite here. The form gap is substantial: Osasuna are leaking goals at an alarming rate while Athletic are defending well and winning regularly. Athletic's pedigree in this fixture, their better league position, and their recent trajectory all point away. Osasuna's home advantage offers some comfort, but it is not enough to override Athletic's clear superiority in both defence and recent results. The visitors should create the clearer chances and control possession.
Back Athletic Club to win. Osasuna's defensive woes make them vulnerable, and Athletic have shown they can handle pressure on the road. A low-scoring away victory looks the most likely outcome.
Match info
Tournaments:
La Liga(Regular Season - 12)
Referee:
Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Stadium
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Osasuna
L
W
L
W
L
Athletic Club
W
W
W
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
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Osasuna vs Athletic Club - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Osasuna vs Athletic Club football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.