Second Half
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 815:45
4 : 3
Match Prediction
Expected score: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Groningen
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
Over 2.5 goalsYes (66%)
Both teams to scoreYes (64%)
AZ Alkmaar host Groningen at AFAS Stadion in a Round 12 Eredivisie clash that pits a side seeking consistency against visitors who've found attacking form. The hosts sit fifth with 20 points; Groningen occupy eighth with 15, but their recent goal tally tells a different story. This is a match where the home advantage and defensive solidity of AZ should prevail, though Groningen's attacking threat cannot be ignored.
Team form
AZ Alkmaar
AZ have stumbled lately, winning just one of their last five league games. The 0-2 loss to Twente on 2026-10-25 was particularly disappointing at home, and a 0-2 defeat at Feyenoord showed defensive lapses. However, the 2-2 draw at Cambuur demonstrated they can create chances. Over these five matches they've scored 4 and conceded 7, a concerning defensive record. Their season average of 1.82 goals scored and 1.18 conceded suggests they're underperforming defensively in recent weeks.
Groningen
Groningen have been far more prolific, scoring 13 goals across their last five games—averaging 2.6 per match. The 5-1 demolition of Excelsior and 3-0 win over PEC Zwolle showcase their attacking potential. Yet they also shipped 9 goals in that span, including a 2-5 hammering at Ajax. Their season average of 2.36 scored and 2.18 conceded reflects a side that plays an open, attacking brand of football. They're dangerous going forward but vulnerable at the back.
Head-to-head
The historical record favours AZ decisively. In their last five meetings, AZ won twice—including a 3-1 away victory in 2018 and a 4-1 away win in 2017. Groningen's two victories came at home in 2015 and 2016, both by 2-0. There is one draw from 2017. AZ's away record against Groningen is particularly strong, suggesting they have the tactical edge in this fixture.
Key factors
AZ's home record and defensive structure under Echteld should provide a foundation, though recent form raises questions about concentration. Groningen's attacking threat is real—they've scored freely of late—but their defensive fragility is a critical weakness. The midfield battle will be crucial; AZ's Weslley Patati and Koopmeiners must control tempo against Groningen's van Bergen and Ondrejka. Groningen's Willumsson offers genuine goal threat, but AZ's back line, led by Hoedt and Schouten, has the experience to manage it. Set pieces could prove decisive given both sides' recent vulnerability.
Prediction
AZ hold a narrow edge as home favourites. Their superior league position, winning record in this fixture, and home advantage at AFAS Stadion outweigh recent form dips. Groningen's attacking prowess means this will be an open contest—they've shown they can score anywhere—but AZ's defensive structure and experience should just prevail. The bookmakers price a home win at 1.51, reflecting AZ's slight favourite status. Both teams are capable of scoring, making a competitive, multi-goal affair likely.
Back AZ Alkmaar to win. They're slight favourites in a match that should see goals at both ends. For fantasy purposes, monitor Groningen's attacking players—Willumsson and van Bergen have shown they can deliver—but AZ's midfield and defence offer better value in this fixture. The home win is the most likely outcome, though Groningen will test the hosts throughout.
Match info
Tournaments:
Eredivisie(Regular Season - 12)
Referee:
Jannick van der Laan
Stadium
AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）, Alkmaar
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
L
L
L
W
D
Groningen
L
L
D
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| 3 |  Twente | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| 4 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Heerenveen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.