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Celta Vigo vs Levante Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 817:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Celta Vigo 1-0 Levante
Celta VigoDrawLevante
Celta Vigo host Levante in La Liga's 12th round, a contest between two mid-table sides with contrasting trajectories. Celta sit tenth on 12 points from 11 matches, while Levante occupy 18th with 10 points. Both teams arrive with identical recent output—9 goals scored across their last five games—but Levante's defensive fragility (10 conceded in that span versus Celta's 3) marks the clearest dividing line. The hosts are favoured by the market, though this remains a tight affair with genuine uncertainty.
Team form
Celta Vigo
Celta have won two of their last five, most recently beating Alaves 2-1 at home on 18 October. Before that came a goalless draw at Elche, sandwiched between a dominant 5-0 victory over Racing Santander and two 1-1 draws. Over five games they have scored 1.8 per match and conceded just 0.6—a defensive record that contrasts sharply with their season average of 0.91 conceded. The 3-4-3 formation deployed in their last outing offers width and attacking intent, with Ferran Jutglà and Wílmar Swedberg providing forward threat alongside Cristian Driouech.
Levante
Levante's record is more volatile. They won 3-1 at home against Athletic Club on 21 October but lost 1-2 away at Real Sociedad four days later. A 3-3 draw with Sevilla and a 1-1 at Deportivo La Coruna bookend a run marked by leaky defending. Across five matches they concede 2.0 per game—nearly double Celta's recent rate—and their season average of 1.91 conceded per match underlines structural fragility. The 4-4-2 shape is more compact, but Luís Castro's side have shipped goals consistently and will need discipline to contain Celta's width.
Head-to-head
Historical meetings favour the hosts. Celta have won three of the last five encounters, including victories of 4-2 (2018) and 4-3 (2016) at home. Levante's sole away win came in 2019, a 4-1 success. The pattern suggests Celta's home advantage carries genuine weight in this fixture, though Levante's 3-1 demolition of Athletic Club shows they remain capable of attacking football when conditions suit.
Key factors
Celta's defensive solidity in recent weeks is the primary edge. They have conceded just one goal in their last three matches and look well-organised under Claudio Giráldez. Levante's inability to tighten at the back—they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five—represents a critical vulnerability. In midfield, Celta's possession and tempo control (48% in their last match) should allow them to dictate play. Levante's counter-attacking threat through Iván Romero and Paco Cortés cannot be ignored, but they will likely spend much of the match defending.
Prediction
The model favours a home win, reflecting Celta's superior recent form, stronger defence and head-to-head advantage. Levante's leaky backline and inconsistency make them vulnerable to the hosts' attacking width. However, the 44% probability for a Celta victory indicates this is far from a foregone conclusion—Levante's capacity to score (1.45 per game on the season) and the inherent unpredictability of football mean a draw or away result remains plausible. The expected goal balance tilts toward Celta, but only marginally.
This contest has the hallmarks of a tight, finely balanced encounter. Celta hold an edge through recent form and home advantage, but Levante's attacking potential and Celta's modest scoring rate (0.91 per game) mean the outcome is far from certain. Both teams are capable of scoring, and a low-scoring result appears most likely. Back Celta with caution; the margins are narrow.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Celta Vigo
L
L
D
W
W
Levante
L
L
W
D
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
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Celta Vigo vs Levante - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Celta Vigo vs Levante football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.