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Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 819:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus
FiorentinaDrawJuventus
Fiorentina host Juventus at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A's 11th round, a fixture that pits a struggling home side against visitors who have built a commanding league position. The hosts sit 16th with 8 points from 10 matches, while Juventus occupy 7th with 17 points. This contest carries the weight of contrasting trajectories — Fiorentina fighting to arrest a slide, Juventus consolidating mid-table strength.
Team form
Fiorentina
Fiorentina's recent record shows volatility. They won 4-2 away at Sassuolo on 2 November but that victory masks deeper fragility. In their five most recent matches, they have scored 9 goals but conceded 11, averaging 1.8 and 2.2 per game respectively. A 2-2 draw at home to Atalanta and defeats to Inter, Como and Genoa reveal defensive instability. Coach Vanoli's 4-3-3 setup generated 2.55 expected goals in their last outing but only 42% possession, a pattern suggesting they are being outcontrolled in midfield. R. Sottil is unavailable due to a back injury.
Juventus
Juventus have been more measured. Their last five matches span from late August to late September and show 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game — a defensive solidity that contrasts sharply with Fiorentina's leakiness. They beat Atalanta 2-0 at home, drew 1-1 with AC Milan and won 2-0 against Parma. Luciano Spalletti's 3-4-2-1 formation has yielded 52% possession and 88% pass accuracy in their measured approach. Their season average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded reflects a side prioritising defensive discipline over attacking ambition.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record heavily favours Juventus. In their last five meetings, Juventus have won three, drawn once and lost once. Most notably, they won 3-0 and 2-0 in consecutive away visits to Florence in 2018, and won 2-1 in 2016. Fiorentina's sole victory in this sequence came in 2017 at home. Juventus arrive as the established favourites in this fixture.
Key factors
Fiorentina's defensive frailty — conceding 2.30 per game this season — will be tested by a Juventus attack featuring Kolo Muani and Conceicao, both rated 7.6 and 7.6 respectively. Juventus's back three, anchored by Bremer (8.3 rating), has proven difficult to breach. Fiorentina's midfield, led by Brescianini and Ndour, must impose control to create space for their attacking trio, but recent possession figures suggest they are being dominated in that area. Juventus's Douglas Luiz and McKennie offer defensive cover that could neutralise Fiorentina's attacking play. The absence of Sottil removes a creative outlet from Fiorentina's setup.
Prediction
Juventus hold a narrow edge. Their superior defensive record, proven away form in this fixture and tactical discipline under Spalletti position them as slight favourites. Fiorentina's recent defensive vulnerabilities and lack of possession control suggest they will struggle to break down a well-organised Juventus side. However, Fiorentina showed attacking intent in their win over Sassuolo and cannot be discounted at home. The match is unlikely to be high-scoring given Juventus's defensive approach, though both teams are capable of finding the net.
Juventus are slight favourites to take the points. Their defensive solidity and away record in this fixture give them an edge, but Fiorentina's home advantage and recent attacking form mean this is far from settled. A low-scoring away victory for Juventus is the likeliest outcome, though the hosts' capacity to score at home keeps this competitive. Expect a cautious tactical battle where defensive discipline will likely prove decisive.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie A(Regular Season - 11)
Referee:
Andrea Colombo
Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Fiorentina
W
D
L
L
L
Juventus
W
W
L
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 |
| 12 |  Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
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Fiorentina vs Juventus - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Fiorentina vs Juventus football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.