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Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 811:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Heerenveen 1-2 Feyenoord
HeerenveenDrawFeyenoord
Over 2.5 goalsYes (63%)
Both teams to scoreYes (61%)
Heerenveen host Feyenoord at the Abe Lenstra Stadion in Eredivisie Round 12. The hosts sit seventh with 18 points from 11 matches, while Feyenoord lead the table with 25 points and an unbeaten record. This fixture pits a mid-table side against the league's dominant force.
Team form
Heerenveen
Heerenveen have shown volatility in recent weeks. They opened with a commanding 4-0 home victory over Excelsior on 2026-10-16, demonstrating attacking potency with 7 shots on goal and 2.25 expected goals. However, that performance masks inconsistency: they were shut out 0-2 away at PSV Eindhoven just a week prior. Over their last five matches, they have scored 10 goals but also conceded 5, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.0 against. Season-wide, they average 1.73 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game—respectable but not commanding.
Feyenoord
Feyenoord have been ruthless. Their last fixture on 2026-09-13 saw them demolish PEC Zwolle 7-0 away, accumulating 11 shots on goal and 3.40 expected goals. Over their five most recent matches, they have scored 19 goals while conceding only 7, averaging 3.8 goals for and 1.4 against. Their season record is flawless: 7 wins and 4 draws from 11 games, with 33 goals scored and just 12 conceded. They average 3.00 goals per game while maintaining a miserly defence.
Head-to-head
Feyenoord dominate the head-to-head record. In their last five meetings, Feyenoord have won three times and drawn once, with Heerenveen winning once. Feyenoord won 5-3 away in 2018, 3-2 away in 2018, 2-1 away in 2017, and 5-2 away in 2015. The only draw occurred in 2019 at 1-1. The pattern is clear: Feyenoord arrive as the favourite based on both recent history and current form.
Key factors
Feyenoord's attacking superiority is the defining factor. They score 3.00 per game versus Heerenveen's 1.73, and their defensive record (1.09 conceded per game) is marginally tighter than their hosts' (1.18). The bookmakers price over 2.5 goals at 1.37, reflecting the likelihood of an open contest. Both teams to score is priced at 1.39, suggesting the markets expect Heerenveen to create chances despite Feyenoord's dominance. Heerenveen's 4-0 win over Excelsior shows they can be dangerous at home, but Feyenoord's unbeaten league record and superior personnel—particularly in attack—present a formidable challenge.
Prediction
Feyenoord are the favourite. Their attacking output, unbeaten status, and commanding head-to-head record make them the most likely winner. Heerenveen have shown they can score at home, but Feyenoord's consistency and defensive solidity make them difficult to break down. The expected goal balance favours the visitors, and the bookmakers' 1.7 odds for an away win reflect a clear market consensus. A Feyenoord victory is the most probable outcome, though Heerenveen's home advantage and recent attacking form suggest they will not be entirely without threat.
Back Feyenoord to win. They are the favourite and the most likely outcome of this fixture. The away win at 1.7 offers value for a side that has won 7 of 11 matches, scored 33 goals, and has not lost in the league this season. Heerenveen can compete and may score, but Feyenoord's superiority across key metrics makes them the more likely winner for this matchup.
Match info
Tournaments:
Eredivisie(Regular Season - 12)
Referee:
Danny Makkelie
Stadium
Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Heerenveen
W
W
W
W
L
Feyenoord
L
D
D
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
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Heerenveen vs Feyenoord - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Heerenveen vs Feyenoord football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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