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Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 08-11-2026
Nov 816:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Stade Brestois 29 0-1 Lyon
Stade Brestois 29DrawLyon
Stade Brestois 29 host Lyon at Stade Francis-Le-Blé in Ligue 1 Round 10, with the visitors arriving as the marginal favourites despite playing away. Lyon sit third in the table with 17 points from nine games, while Brest occupy tenth with 12 points. This is a contest between a side built on defensive solidity and one seeking to consolidate a strong early-season position.
Team form
Stade Brestois 29
Brest have shown inconsistency. A commanding 5-1 victory over Angers on 10 October was followed by defeat to Nice and a draw at Lille. Most recently, they beat Lorient 2-0 away on 2 November, suggesting some recovery. Over their last five games, they have scored 10 and conceded 6. Their season average stands at 1.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. In their most recent outing, they managed 48% possession and 1.24 expected goals.
Lyon
Lyon have been the more consistent performers. They won 2-0 at home against Angers on 1 November, extending their recent record to three wins in five games. A 2-0 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain on 26 October interrupted their momentum, but they have since recovered. Over five games, they have scored 9 and conceded 5. Their season average of 1.67 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game reflects a tighter defensive unit. Their last match saw them record 64% possession and 2.1 expected goals.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these sides spans over a decade with limited recent contact. Lyon have won three of the five meetings on record, with two draws. The most recent encounter, a 2-2 draw in December 2020, saw both sides score. Lyon won 3-1 at home in January 2020. Historically, Lyon have held the upper hand in this fixture.
Key factors
Lyon's defensive record this season is significantly superior to Brest's, conceding 0.78 goals per game compared to Brest's 1.33. However, Brest's recent form shows they can be dangerous at home—their 5-1 demolition of Angers demonstrates attacking capability when conditions align. Lyon's midfield, anchored by players who delivered in their last outing, should control possession, but Brest's 4-2-3-1 formation offers a compact defensive shape. The visitors' away record and overall consistency in the league suggest they are equipped to handle the pressure, though Brest's home advantage cannot be discounted. Both sides have shown they can score, but Lyon's defensive discipline is the standout metric.
Prediction
Lyon edge this as the most likely outcome, though the margin is narrow. Their superior defensive record, third-place position, and recent consistency make them slight favourites. Brest remain competitive at home and have the quality to trouble Lyon, particularly given their recent win over Lorient. The expected goals balance slightly favours the visitors, and their away record suggests they will not be overawed. However, this is a close three-way contest—a Brest win or draw remain realistic outcomes. The goals market is finely balanced with both teams capable of scoring.
Lyon are the most likely winners, but only marginally so in what shapes as a competitive encounter. Expect a tight match where defensive discipline will be tested by both sides' attacking intent. The fixture is too close to call with confidence, making this a match where the underdog holds genuine appeal.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Stade Brestois 29
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 2 |  Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 |  Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
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Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.