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Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 10-10-2026
Oct 1014:15
Match Prediction
Expected score: Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid
AlavesDrawAtletico Madrid
Over 2.5 goalsYes (51%)
Both teams to scoreYes (53%)
Alaves will host Atletico Madrid at the Estadio de Mendizorroza for this La Liga clash on October 10, 2026. With both teams entering the match on different trajectories, it promises to be an intriguing encounter between a resilient mid-table side and a title contender.
Team form
Alaves
Alaves currently sits sixth in the league standings with 11 points from seven matches. Their recent form has seen them encounter difficulties, managing only one win in their last five fixtures (1-0 against Villarreal on August 28). Since then, they've had a draw against Athletic Club and suffered losses to Valencia and Racing Santander, showing an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded in this span. The team's defensive setup, typically arranged in a 5-3-2 formation, may look to stabilize defensively but will need more attacking precision.
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid is performing at a higher level, currently sitting second in the league with 16 points from seven matches. Their recent form includes four victories out of their last five games, with wins against strong opponents like Real Madrid (2-1) and Osasuna (4-0). Atletico's offense is firing, averaging 2.4 goals scored per match, while maintaining a solid defensive line that has conceded only 1.0 goal per game. Grounded in a 4-4-2 formation, they show a sophisticated blend of offensive prowess and defensive discipline, making them formidable.
Head-to-head
Historically, Atletico Madrid has had the upper hand in their recent head-to-head meetings with Alaves, winning four of the last five encounters. The last five matches have yielded results of 1-0, 2-1, 3-0, 1-0, and a draw of 1-1, indicating a trend of lower-scoring games when these teams meet. This history suggests that Alaves struggles to find the back of the net against Atletico.
Key factors
Key players will play a significant role in determining the match outcome. Atletico's Jan Oblak remains a reliable guardian of the goal, complemented by dynamic attackers such as J. David and Álex Grimaldo, who has already contributed with impactful performances this season. On the other hand, Alaves will rely on their resilient players like Sivera in goal and Guevara in midfield to disrupt Atletico’s rhythm. The formation chosen by both coaches will also be crucial in how the game unfolds, particularly Alaves' defensive structure against Atletico's fluid attacking style.
Prediction
Considering the current form and statistics, Atletico Madrid appears to be the stronger side as they aim to keep pace at the top of the table. Their attacking capabilities, supported by a solid defense, should allow them to secure three points against Alaves, who are struggling for consistent scoring despite a solid mid-table presence. The predicted scoreline reflects a match where Atletico is likely to capitalise on Alaves' vulnerabilities, pushing for a key win away from home.
The analysis suggests that Atletico Madrid is the clear favourite for this encounter, likely to emerge victorious by exploiting Alaves' defensive frailties and maintaining their upward momentum in the league.
Match info
Tournaments:
La Liga(Regular Season - 8)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio de Mendizorroza, Victoria-Gasteiz
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Alaves
D
L
L
W
W
Atletico Madrid
W
W
W
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
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Alaves vs Atletico Madrid - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Alaves vs Atletico Madrid football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.