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Expected score: Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Accrington ST
Sheffield Wednesday host Accrington Stanley in the EFL Trophy Group North at Hillsborough on 10 November. The hosts are strong favourites, but caution is warranted: the visitors arrive with nothing to lose and a record that shows they can trouble sides when given the chance.
Team form
Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday have won three of their last five League One matches, scoring 11 goals across that run. However, their most recent outings—consecutive 0-0 draws against Stockport and Wigan—suggest a loss of cutting edge. They managed only 2 shots on goal in their last fixture, with 48% possession and 79% pass accuracy. The attacking threat remains present from their wins over Peterborough and Wycombe, but consistency is the question mark.
Accrington ST
Accrington Stanley's League Two form is troubling: three defeats in five games, conceding 11 goals across that stretch. Their 2.2 goals conceded per match is a glaring weakness. They did beat Crawley Town 3-2 at home and drew 2-2 with Grimsby, showing they can score, but defensive fragility has been their undoing. In their last outing against Barnet, they lost 1-2 despite the away fixture, and their pass accuracy of 52% in that game hints at a side struggling to control matches.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Wednesday decisively. In their last five meetings, Sheffield Wednesday have won three times and drawn once, with Accrington's only victory coming in 2021. Most recently, in August 2026, the teams drew 0-0, but Wednesday's dominance in the broader record—including a 3-0 home win in April 2023—underlines their superiority in direct encounters.
Key factors
Wednesday's midfield, anchored by B. Bannan and B. Mitchell, should control possession and tempo. R. Santos and L. Cooper provide defensive stability, though Accrington's C. Caton scored in their last outing and cannot be ignored. The visitors' weak pass accuracy and possession figures suggest they will be chasing the game; Wednesday's ability to convert chances will be decisive. The EFL Trophy format often produces open contests, but Wednesday's recent league form and home advantage at Hillsborough are substantial edges.
Prediction
Wednesday are clear favourites on the balance of recent form, head-to-head record, and defensive solidity. Accrington's leaky defence—conceding 2.2 per game—faces a Wednesday side that has scored freely in their wins. The hosts should dominate possession and create the clearer openings. Accrington will offer some threat going forward, but their inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities make them unlikely to leave with anything. A comfortable Wednesday victory is the most probable outcome.
Sheffield Wednesday to win. The hosts' superior form, home advantage, and Accrington's defensive frailties point to a home victory. Expect a fairly open contest with both sides likely to score, but Wednesday should have too much.
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Sheffield Wednesday vs Accrington ST - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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