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Trival Valderas vs Leganes Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 10-11-2026
Nov 1019:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Trival Valderas 0-2 Leganes
Trival ValderasDrawLeganes
Over 2.5 goalsYes (61%)
Both teams to scoreNo (38%)
Trival Valderas, a Tercera División RFEF side, hosts Leganes of Segunda División in the Copa del Rey Round of 128 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. This is a significant step up in competition for the home team, who compete two tiers below their visitors. Leganes enter as heavy favourites despite recent struggles in the league.
Team form
Trival Valderas
Trival Valderas have drawn three of their last five matches in Tercera División RFEF Group 7, including consecutive 2-2 results against Galapagar and Leganés II. They scored twice in each of those draws but also conceded at the same rate, averaging 1.6 goals for and against across their last five outings. A 2-1 home win over Las Rozas and a 0-1 away loss to Rayo Vallecano II complete their recent record. The pattern shows an attack capable of creating chances but a defence prone to lapses.
Leganes
Leganes have endured a difficult spell in Segunda División, losing four of their last five matches. They were shut out in three consecutive games—0-1 to Cordoba, 0-3 to Almeria, and 0-4 to Cadiz—before a 0-2 loss to Castellón. Their only win came against Granada CF on 20 September, when they scored 3 and conceded 2. Over the five-game span, they managed just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 2.4 per game. In their most recent outing on 16 October, Leganes managed just 42% possession with only 2 shots on goal.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings between these teams are on record.
Key factors
The gulf in league level is the dominant factor. Leganes compete in Spain's second tier; Trival Valderas play in the fourth. However, Leganes' current form is alarming—four losses in five Segunda División matches have left them vulnerable. Trival Valderas, despite playing at a lower level, have shown resilience at home and scored in four of their last five matches. Leganes' defensive record (2.4 conceded per game) and attacking struggles (0.6 scored per game) create an opening for the home side to trouble them. That said, Leganes' quality should tell over 90 minutes, and the bookmakers price them at 1.15 to win. The match is set at Leganes' home ground, which adds another layer of advantage for the visitors.
Prediction
Leganes are clear favourites and should prevail. Despite their league form, a Segunda División side retains a significant technical and physical advantage over fourth-tier opposition. Trival Valderas' recent draws show they can score, but Leganes' defensive issues stem partly from tactical vulnerability rather than individual error—a problem that a structured, higher-level team can exploit. The expected goal balance strongly favours the visitors, and the bookmakers' 87% implied probability for an away win reflects the structural advantage. Leganes are priced to win decisively rather than narrowly.
Back Leganes to win. They are strong favourites and should convert their league status into a Copa del Rey progression. Expect a fairly open game with chances at both ends, but Leganes' superior quality should prove decisive. A comfortable away victory is the likeliest outcome.
Match info
Tournaments:
Copa del Rey(Round of 128)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Trival Valderas
D
D
D
L
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Leganes
L
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Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
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Trival Valderas vs Leganes - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Trival Valderas vs Leganes football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.