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Almería II vs Málaga II Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1110:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Almería II 1-0 Málaga II
Almería IIDrawMálaga II
Almería II hosts Málaga II in Tercera División RFEF Group 9 on 11 October 2026, with both teams locked on 10 points after five matches. This fixture pits two evenly matched sides separated only by goal difference, making it a pivotal contest in the early season battle for promotion places.
Team form
Almería II
Almería II have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently drawing 1-1 away at Cantoria. Their standout performance came against Atlético Porcuna at home, where they won 4-0. However, they suffered a setback on the road at UD San Pedro, losing 0-1. Over five games they have scored 9 goals and conceded just 3, averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded per match—a solid defensive record.
Málaga II
Málaga II arrive with an identical 3-1-1 record but a sharper attacking edge. They won their last outing 2-0 at home against Granada II and have scored 11 goals in five games, averaging 2.20 per match. Their defence is slightly more porous at 0.80 conceded per game. A standout 6-1 home victory over Atlético Porcuna shows their attacking potential, though they too have stumbled on the road, losing 0-1 at UD San Pedro.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Almería II at home. In their last five meetings, Almería II won 2-0 at home in March 2022 and 3-1 in May 2024. The most recent encounter in February 2026 ended 1-1. Málaga II's sole away win came in January 2024 (0-2), and they drew 0-0 in February 2023. Almería II's home advantage in this fixture is historically meaningful.
Key factors
Almería II's defensive solidity—conceding just 0.60 per game—will be tested against Málaga II's more prolific attack (2.20 goals per game). Conversely, Málaga II's backline has shown vulnerability, and Almería II's proven ability to score at home (1.80 per game) presents a clear opportunity. Málaga II's away record is a concern: they have won only one of their recent away matches. Home advantage and Almería II's superior defensive record emerge as the decisive factors.
Prediction
Almería II hold a slight favourite status. They combine a stronger home record, better defensive metrics, and a historical edge over Málaga II at this ground. Málaga II's attacking threat means this will not be one-sided, but Almería II's home environment and defensive discipline give them the edge. The betting market reflects this as a narrow advantage rather than a commanding one.
Back Almería II to win. They are slight favourites to take the three points, supported by home advantage, superior recent defence, and a favourable head-to-head record. Málaga II will test them in attack, but Almería II's platform should prove decisive. A fairly open game is likely, with both teams capable of scoring, though Almería II's defensive organisation makes them the more reliable selection at home.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9(Group 9 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Almería II
D
W
L
W
W
Málaga II
W
W
D
W
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 |  Málaga II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Almería II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Granada II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 |  Atlético Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Huétor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Mancha Real | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
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Almería II vs Málaga II - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Almería II vs Málaga II football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.