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Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1114:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Aretxabaleta 1-0 Pasaia KE
AretxabaletaDrawPasaia KE
Over 2.5 goalsNo (34%)
Both teams to scoreNo (41%)
Aretxabaleta hosts Pasaia KE in an intriguing matchup in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 on October 11, 2026. Both teams are looking to secure valuable points as they aim for higher league positions. Aretxabaleta is currently seventh, while Pasaia KE stands third in the standings. The contest promises to be competitive, with both sides showing flashes of form in recent outings.
Team form
Aretxabaleta
Aretxabaleta has experienced a mixed bag in their last five matches, registering two victories, two draws, and one loss. Their most recent encounter saw them narrowly defeat Lagun Onak 2-1. Despite this win, Aretxabaleta has struggled to find consistent scoring, having an average of just 0.80 goals per game. They have managed to conceded fewer goals than they have scored this season, emphasizing a strong defensive structure, as shown in three clean sheets maintained this season. Their recent form indicates they are on an upward trajectory but will need to convert more chances into goals moving forward.
Pasaia KE
Pasaia KE comes into the match in good form, ranking third overall with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They recently managed a solid 1-0 victory against Santurtzi, showcasing their defensive solidity. On average, Pasaia KE has scored 1.40 goals per match, signaling an offensive edge compared to Aretxabaleta. However, they have also conceded a robust 1.20 goals per game, which points towards vulnerabilities that Aretxabaleta might exploit if they can maintain their recent pressure.
Head-to-head
The last four meetings between these teams have resulted in a mix of outcomes, with each side claiming victories in previous encounters. Pasaia KE won their last battle 3-2 in April 2026, showcasing their ability to outgun Aretxabaleta in a high-scoring affair. Previous matches in the last year show Aretxabaleta also achieved two wins against Pasaia KE, including a notable 1-0 at home in December 2025. This historical perspective adds psychological weight to this fixture as both teams strive for supremacy.
Key factors
In this matchup, Aretxabaleta's defensive resilience and improvement in recent performances will be crucial. Their ability to neutralize Pasaia KE’s attack will determine how the game unfolds. Aretxabaleta must aim to capitalize on set pieces and capitalize on counter-attacks. Meanwhile, Pasaia KE will look to enforce their attacking prowess through proactive offensive tactics, drawing upon their recent goal-scoring form to penetrate Aretxabaleta's defenses.
Prediction
Overall, recent performance metrics favor a narrow home victory for Aretxabaleta. With an expected goals rate of 1.12 against Pasaia KE's 0.95, Aretxabaleta has the slight statistical edge in terms of converting chances. Given their home advantage and the tendency for these closely matched teams to produce low-scoring contests, a tightly contested scoreline in Aretxabaleta's favor fits the expected outcome well.
Given the team's respective form and the historical context, Aretxabaleta is predicted to secure a home victory against Pasaia KE in this Tercera División encounter.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4(Group 4 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Aretxabaleta
W
L
D
D
W
Pasaia KE
W
W
W
D
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  Pasaia KE | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 |  Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad III | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Touring | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  R. Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Sodupe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 16 |  Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.