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Avilés Stadium vs Llanes Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1110:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Avilés Stadium 1-2 Llanes
Avilés StadiumDrawLlanes
Over 2.5 goalsYes (76%)
Both teams to scoreYes (63%)
Avilés Stadium hosts Llanes in Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on 11 October 2026, a fixture between two sides locked on 3 points but separated by contrasting trajectories. Both sit in the lower half of the table after five matches, yet their paths to this point reveal markedly different defensive vulnerabilities and attacking output that will shape how this encounter unfolds.
Team form
Avilés Stadium
Avilés Stadium have won once in five outings, that victory coming away at Praviano on 20 September. Since then, defeats to Lealtad (0-2) and Sporting Gijón II (1-2) have compounded earlier losses to L'Entregu and Covadonga. The hosts have scored only 2 goals across their last five matches while conceding 9, a 1.80 per-game average that exposes a fragile backline. Their sole win came in a low-scoring affair, and they have failed to score in three of their last four outings.
Llanes
Llanes show greater balance in recent weeks, drawing three of their last five matches. They held Condal 1-1 at home, drew 1-1 away at Lealtad, and drew 2-2 with Gijón Industrial, suggesting a side capable of competing even when under pressure. However, heavy defeats to Sporting Gijón II (1-3) and Mosconia (1-5) indicate inconsistency in defensive shape. Over five games, Llanes have scored 6 goals against 12 conceded, averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded per match—better attacking output than the hosts, though defensive frailty remains a concern.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record offers little clarity. Llanes won the most recent meeting in April 2026, taking a 1-0 victory away from home. Before that, Avilés Stadium claimed a 2-1 home win in February 2024. The sides have drawn twice, in October 2023 and January 2023, and Avilés Stadium won 1-0 at home in September 2022. The fixture has produced varied results, though Llanes' recent away win suggests they carry momentum into this contest.
Key factors
Avilés Stadium's defensive record is the critical weakness here. Conceding 1.80 goals per game and failing to score in recent outings leaves them vulnerable to a Llanes side that, despite their own defensive issues, average 1.20 goals per match. Llanes' three draws in their last four games indicate a team that can absorb pressure and create chances on the counter. The away side's superior goal-scoring record and recent form in draws suggest they will not be overawed by playing on the road. Avilés Stadium's inability to convert chances—2 goals in 5 games—will prove costly against opponents capable of punishing defensive lapses.
Prediction
Llanes enter as clear favourites based on attacking output, recent form, and the hosts' pronounced defensive frailty. Avilés Stadium have conceded heavily in recent weeks and lack the attacking threat to compensate. Llanes' draws suggest resilience and the ability to score first, which would place additional pressure on a home side struggling to find the net. The away team's superior goal-scoring average and defensive solidity relative to Avilés Stadium's record point toward a Llanes victory. Both defences are porous enough that goals appear likely from both sides, though Llanes' attacking advantage should prove decisive.
Llanes are strong favourites to take the points. The visitors' attacking prowess and recent form outweigh Avilés Stadium's home advantage, particularly given the hosts' severe defensive and offensive limitations. Expect Llanes to control possession and create the clearer opportunities, with the hosts likely to struggle in both areas. A Llanes win represents the most probable outcome.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2(Group 2 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Avilés Stadium
L
L
W
L
L
Llanes
D
D
D
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Sporting Gijón II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 |  Colunga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Siero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lealtad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  San Martín | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Praviano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 |  L'Entregu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Ceares | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 |  Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 |  Andes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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Avilés Stadium vs Llanes - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Avilés Stadium vs Llanes football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.