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Castuera vs Atlético Pueblonuevo Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1110:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Castuera 3-0 Atlético Pueblonuevo
CastueraDrawAtlético Pueblonuevo
Over 2.5 goalsYes (69%)
Both teams to scoreNo (40%)
Castuera host Atlético Pueblonuevo in Tercera División RFEF Group 14 on 11 October, and the hosts come into this fixture as commanding favourites. Castuera sit fourth in the standings with 9 points from four games, while Pueblonuevo languish in 16th with just 3 points from five matches. The gulf in form and league position sets up a one-sided contest on paper.
Team form
Castuera
Castuera are in excellent shape. They have won three of their last four games, including a dominant 5-0 victory over Gévora and a 2-1 away win at Jerez. Their only blemish came against Puebla Calzada, who beat them 2-0, but they bounced back immediately with a 1-0 home win over Plasencia. Over these four matches, Castuera scored 8 goals while conceding just 3, averaging 2.0 per game at both ends. They are a threat going forward and solid in defence.
Atlético Pueblonuevo
Atlético Pueblonuevo are struggling. They have not won in five games, collecting three draws and two losses. Most recently they drew 0-0 at home against Puebla Calzada, but before that they lost 1-3 away to Gévora. Their defensive record is particularly concerning: they have conceded 10 goals in five matches, averaging 2.0 per game. They managed only 1 goal in their last two outings combined. Away from home, Pueblonuevo look vulnerable.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record slightly favours Castuera. In their last four meetings, Castuera have won twice (2-1 away in April 2025 and 3-2 at home in February 2024), with one draw at 3-3 in December 2024 and one loss at home (1-0 in September 2023). Castuera have shown they can score heavily against this opponent and have the edge in recent history.
Key factors
Castuera's attacking potency is the standout factor. They average 2.0 goals scored per game this season and have shown they can dismantle defences, as evidenced by the 5-0 rout of Gévora. Pueblonuevo's leaky defence, conceding at 2.0 per game, will struggle to contain them. Pueblonuevo's inability to score—just 1.0 per game—means they are unlikely to trouble Castuera's organised backline. The visitors' lack of a winning mentality and away-day frailties compound their problems.
Prediction
Castuera should dominate this encounter. They are sharper, more clinical, and far better organised than a Pueblonuevo side in freefall. The hosts' superior goal-scoring record and Pueblonuevo's defensive fragility point to a convincing home victory. Castuera have the quality to win comfortably and should be ruthless in front of goal. While Pueblonuevo may scrape a goal on the counter, they lack the firepower and cohesion to mount a genuine threat.
Back Castuera to win decisively. They are strong favourites and should cruise to victory with room to spare.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14(Group 14 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Castuera
W
W
L
W
Atlético Pueblonuevo
D
L
D
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Puebla Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Gévora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Santa Amalia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Villafranca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Cabeza Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Jerez | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Jaraíz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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