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Caudal vs Sporting Gijón II Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1110:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Caudal 0-1 Sporting Gijón II
CaudalDrawSporting Gijón II
Over 2.5 goalsNo (42%)
Caudal hosts Sporting Gijón II in Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on 11 October 2026, a matchup between two sides heading in different directions. Sporting Gijón II sit second in the group with 13 points from 5 games, while Caudal occupy sixth place with 10 points. The visitors arrive as the in-form team, and despite playing away from home, they carry genuine threat into this encounter.
Team form
Caudal
Caudal have won 3 of their last 5 games but show inconsistency. They beat L'Entregu 2-0 and Ceares 2-1, and earlier thrashed Astur 3-0, yet they suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat at Covadonga and drew 1-1 at Praviano most recently. Over their last five matches they have scored 8 goals but also conceded 6, averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded per game. At home they have won twice this season but also lost once, suggesting they are vulnerable on their own ground.
Sporting Gijón II
Sporting Gijón II have been far more reliable. They have won 4 of their last 5 matches, losing none. Their only blemish in recent weeks was a 1-1 draw at home to Langreo, but they have beaten Avilés Stadium 2-1, Lealtad 1-0, Llanes 3-1, and Praviano 2-1. Over the same five-game span they have scored 9 goals while conceding just 4, averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency mark them out as the stronger proposition.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Caudal historically. They won 3-2 at home in October 2025 and 3-0 at home in September 2024. Before that, the teams drew 0-0 in April 2024, 1-1 in March 2023, and 1-1 in February 2022. Caudal have won twice and drawn three times across their last five meetings, but those victories came when Sporting Gijón II were not in the form they currently display. The visitors' recent trajectory suggests this record may not hold much weight.
Key factors
Sporting Gijón II's defensive record is the standout metric. They have conceded only 0.80 goals per game this season compared to Caudal's 1.20, a meaningful gap at this level. Caudal's home record is mixed—they have been vulnerable to conceding multiple goals, as shown by the Covadonga loss. Sporting Gijón II's away form has been strong, and they arrive with momentum. Caudal will need to tighten their defence and convert chances efficiently, but Sporting Gijón II's attacking average of 1.80 goals per game suggests they will create opportunities. The visitors' consistency in both attack and defence gives them a structural edge.
Prediction
Sporting Gijón II are the better team in current form and carry an advantage in defensive organisation. Caudal's home record, while not poor, shows they can be breached, and Sporting Gijón II have the attacking quality to exploit that. The visitors' four wins in five matches and superior goal difference reflect a side hitting their stride. Caudal will make this difficult—they have won at home this season and have historical pedigree in this fixture—but Sporting Gijón II's edge in both consistency and efficiency points toward an away result. This is a tight match with genuine uncertainty, but the visitors hold the balance of probability.
Sporting Gijón II are slight favourites to take the points, though Caudal remain capable of upsetting them at home. Expect a closely contested game where defensive discipline will matter as much as attacking flair. A draw remains a genuine possibility given Caudal's recent form, but Sporting Gijón II's trajectory makes them the pick.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2(Group 2 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Caudal
D
W
L
W
L
Sporting Gijón II
D
W
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Sporting Gijón II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 |  Colunga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Siero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Lealtad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  San Martín | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Praviano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 |  L'Entregu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Ceares | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 |  Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 |  Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 |  Andes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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Caudal vs Sporting Gijón II - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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