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Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1109:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Deportiva Minera 0-1 Castellonense
Deportiva MineraDrawCastellonense
Over 2.5 goalsNo (33%)
Both teams to scoreNo (40%)
Deportiva Minera host Castellonense in Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on 11 October, a fixture that pits the division's eighth-placed side against a third-placed challenger. The visitors arrive with a superior record and a clear attacking edge, yet the home side's recent form offers enough encouragement to make this a genuinely competitive encounter rather than a foregone conclusion.
Team form
Deportiva Minera
Deportiva Minera have won 2 of their last 5 matches, most recently beating La Nucía 2-0 at home. They drew 2-2 with Orihuela and 0-0 with Mallorca II in that run, but suffered a heavy 0-2 defeat away to Alcoyano. Their record reads 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 4 conceded. In the league, they sit eighth with 8 points from 5 matches, averaging 1.00 goal scored and 0.80 conceded per game. The home advantage has been a factor: they have won both their last two matches at their ground.
Castellonense
Castellonense are the form side in this matchup, sitting third with 12 points and boasting a 4-1 record from their opening 5 games. They have scored 8 goals and conceded only 3, averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their recent run includes a 3-0 demolition of Real Murcia II, victories over Cieza, Poblense and Ucam Murcia, offset by a single 0-1 loss to Lorca Deportiva away. Their defensive solidity is striking: they have conceded just one goal in their last four matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings are recorded between these sides.
Key factors
The gulf in league position and points total masks a closer tactical picture. Castellonense's superior goal difference (plus 5 versus Deportiva Minera's plus 1) and tighter defence are genuine advantages, yet Deportiva Minera's home record and recent attacking output cannot be dismissed. Castellonense's sole weakness in recent weeks has been away form—their only loss came on the road—and they will face a side that has won its last two home games. Deportiva Minera's defensive frailty (0.80 goals conceded per game) against Castellonense's clinical finishing (1.60 per game) is a critical mismatch, but the hosts' ability to score at home creates a platform for a competitive game. The visitors' consistency in attack and defence suggests they will be dangerous, yet Deportiva Minera cannot be written off in their own stadium.
Prediction
The statistical model identifies Castellonense as a narrow lean, reflecting their superior league position, defensive record and attacking average. However, the probabilities are tightly bunched: away win 37.2 per cent, home win 35.1 per cent, and draw 27.8 per cent. The expected goals balance is nearly level at 1.00 to 1.04, indicating a low-scoring affair with genuine uncertainty. The over 2.5 goals market sits at just 33.4 per cent, suggesting a tight, defensive contest is more probable than an open one. Both teams scoring is priced at 39.5 per cent, reflecting the defensive strength of the visitors against the home side's modest but functional attack.
This match is too close to call. Castellonense edge the odds as a lean, but the probabilities are so compressed that any outcome remains plausible. The visitors' superior form and defensive discipline offer a marginal case for backing them, yet Deportiva Minera's home advantage and recent victories at their ground warrant serious consideration. Expect a tight, low-scoring contest where a single goal may decide it. The data suggests a narrow away win, but this is a coin-flip fixture where the margin between the three outcomes is negligible.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3(Group 3 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Deportiva Minera
W
L
D
D
W
Castellonense
W
L
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 |  La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Castellonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Alcoyano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Ucam Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 |  Intercity | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Deportiva Minera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Yeclano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Mallorca II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Atlético Baleares | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Valencia II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Elche II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Poblense | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Real Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Deportiva Minera vs Castellonense football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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