Match Finished
Fossombrone vs Termoli Calcio Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1113:00
1 : 2
Match Prediction
Expected score: Fossombrone 1-0 Termoli Calcio
FossombroneDrawTermoli Calcio
Over 2.5 goalsNo (44%)
Both teams to scoreNo (50%)
As Fossombrone prepares to host Termoli Calcio in the Serie D - Girone F Group F on October 11, 2026, both teams will look to translate their tactical strategies into points, with Fossombrone currently positioned sixth and Termoli Calcio sitting at twelfth in the league standings. This match presents an opportunity for Fossombrone to secure better footing in the table, while Termoli Calcio seeks to overcome a slow start to the season.
Team form
Fossombrone
Fossombrone's recent form reveals a mixed performance, winning 3 of their last 6 matches with a total of 10 points. Their scoring rate stands at 1.00 goals per match, while they concede an average of 1.50. In their last five matches, they managed a narrow win against Atletico Ascoli (1-0), drew with Vigor Senigallia (0-0), and lost to Lanciano FC (2-4) and L'Aquila (0-4). Their strong defensive showing against Atletico may bolster their confidence for this fixture, particularly when returning to home ground after two consecutive away games.
Termoli Calcio
Termoli Calcio's recent results have not been favorable, with only 2 victories in their last 6 outings leading to a total of 7 points in the league. Their attack has averaged only 0.67 goals per match, coupled with a goals conceded rate of 0.83. Recently, they suffered a heavy defeat to L'Aquila (2-5) but bounced back to secure a confident win over Lanciano FC (2-0). However, their consistency remains a concern as they have generally struggled to convert opportunities, contributing to poor run against their league rivals.
Head-to-head
The historical context in their head-to-head clashes offers additional insight. In their last five encounters, the teams played out three draws (0-0), with Fossombrone securing two victories (1-0, and another match from 2025), and Termoli Calcio managing one win (3-0). These past results indicate a competitive rivalry with tight scorelines and suggest that neither team won easy in previous fixtures.
Key factors
In this matchup, Fossombrone's ability to utilize home advantage may prove crucial. Their tactical approach prioritizing a solid defense will likely aim to mitigate Termoli Calcio's offensive threats. Fossombrone boasts slightly better statistics across the board this season, especially in defense, conceding less frequently at home. Termoli’s struggles to find a reliable goal source could play a vital role; thus exploits on the counter may be their only hope against a physically organized Fossombrone side. Possession control and midfield dynamics will also be significant determining factors.
Prediction
Statistics suggest that Fossombrone is favoured to win this matchup, dominating the expected goals metric as they average approximately 1.28 expected goals compared to Termoli Calcio’s 1.15. The prior league positioning and recent home form also reinforce this prediction, as Fossombrone has demonstrated resilience at home, which they will certainly lean on against a struggling Termoli.
Overall, given Fossombrone's solid home advantage and Termoli's inconsistency, a victory for Fossombrone appears likely in this encounter.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie D - Girone F(Group F - 7)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Fossombrone
D
W
D
L
W
Termoli Calcio
L
W
L
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L'Aquila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  Teramo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Foligno Calcio | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ancona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 |  Vigor Senigallia | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 |  Notaresco | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Lanciano FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Atletico Ascoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Fossombrone | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Santegidiese | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Montecchio Gallo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Real Giulianova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Maceratese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Angelana | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Sporting Trestina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Pietralunga | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
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Fossombrone vs Termoli Calcio - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Fossombrone vs Termoli Calcio football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.