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Leganés II vs Galapagar Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1110:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Leganés II 1-0 Galapagar
Leganés IIDrawGalapagar
Over 2.5 goalsNo (40%)
Leganés II host Galapagar in Tercera División RFEF Group 7 on 11 October 2026, with both teams sitting in the upper half of the table. Leganés II lie ninth on 7 points from 5 games, while Galapagar occupy seventh with 8 points. The visitors hold a narrow advantage in the standings, but recent form and head-to-head history suggest this will be a competitive encounter.
Team form
Leganés II
Leganés II have shown inconsistency over their last five outings. They opened with back-to-back wins—a 2-0 victory over Real Aranjuez and a commanding 4-1 home win against Rayo Vallecano II—but have since faltered. A 3-2 defeat at Las Rozas was followed by a blank loss at Cala Pozuelo, before they drew 1-1 away at Móstoles last time out. They have scored 9 goals across these five matches but conceded 6, averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded per game.
Galapagar
Galapagar's recent record is mixed but slightly more stable. They won 5-2 at Real Aranjuez and 2-1 at Rayo Vallecano II, but have also stumbled—drawing 1-1 at home to Las Rozas and losing 1-3 at home to Cala Pozuelo in their most recent outing. An opening draw with Pozuelo Alarcón rounds out their five-game sample. Across these fixtures they have posted 10 goals and conceded 8, averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded per game.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record between these sides over the past three seasons favours Galapagar. In their last five meetings, Galapagar have won twice—both away from home (0-2 in February 2026 and 0-1 in February 2025)—while Leganés II have not beaten them. The other three encounters ended in draws: 1-1 in September 2024 and 0-0 in both February 2024 and September 2023. Galapagar's away record in this fixture is particularly strong.
Key factors
Leganés II's home advantage is their primary asset; they have won two of their last three at this venue. Galapagar's superior scoring rate (2.00 per game versus 1.80) and their historical edge in this fixture present a counter-narrative. However, Galapagar have conceded more goals on average (1.60 versus 1.20), and their recent loss at home to Cala Pozuelo suggests vulnerability. The draw has appeared frequently in their meetings, which could prove relevant given both teams' recent tendency to share points.
Prediction
Leganés II emerge as a slight favourite in this contest. Home advantage, combined with their stronger defensive record and recent home form, tilts the balance in their favour, though only narrowly. Galapagar's away record in this fixture is strong, but their defensive inconsistency and the hosts' momentum from their win over Rayo Vallecano II provide Leganés II with an edge. Both teams are capable of scoring, but the hosts should create the clearer chances and are marginally more likely to take the three points.
Back Leganés II to win. They hold a narrow edge at home, supported by their superior defensive average and the historical pattern of close encounters between these sides. A low-scoring outcome is plausible given recent form, but the hosts' slight favourite status reflects their home advantage and current trajectory in the group.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7(Group 7 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Leganés II
D
L
W
L
W
Galapagar
L
W
D
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colonia Moscardó | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 2 |  Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  Móstoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 |  Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 |  RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Leganés II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Torrejón | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Unión Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Pozuelo Alarcón | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Alcobendas Sport | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  SS Reyes II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Villanueva Pardillo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Rayo Vallecano II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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Leganés II vs Galapagar - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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