Match Finished
Pavia vs Varesina Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1113:00
2 : 2
Match Prediction
Expected score: Pavia 1-0 Varesina
PaviaDrawVaresina
Over 2.5 goalsNo (37%)
Both teams to scoreNo (43%)
As Pavia prepare to host Varesina, this encounter in the Serie D - Girone D promises to be an intriguing battle. With both teams currently struggling for form, this match presents a crucial opportunity for both sides to turn their fortunes around in front of home and away fans alike.
Team form
Pavia
Pavia has had a difficult start to the season, sitting in 10th place with 7 points after 6 matches. Recent performances have left much to be desired, as they have only managed to secure one win this season, alongside four draws and one loss. In their last five games, they managed to score only 3 goals while conceding 6, averaging 0.6 goals scored per match and 1.2 goals conceded. However, with a solid defense that has only let in 3 goals at home, they will aim to leverage that strength as they strive for a positive result.
Varesina
Varesina currently occupies 12th position with 5 points from 6 matches. Their season has been challenging as well, having collected just one win along with two draws and three losses. In their recent form, they have scored 4 goals while conceding 8, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match. A particularly tough outing last time out, where they lost 4-2 to USD Casatese, shows that they really need to turn the tide on their travels and find a way to improve their away form.
Head-to-head
Historically, matches between Pavia and Varesina show a balanced rivalry. Their last two encounters ended in draws, with the most recent outing being a 1-1 tie back in March 2026, and a 2-2 result in October 2025 before that. This trend of tightly contested matches could signal a closely fought contest on the day.
Key factors
One of the key factors in this upcoming fixture will undoubtedly be Pavia's defense against Varesina's attacking unit. While Pavia's defense has shown resilience at home, they will need to convert their defensive strength into goal-scoring opportunities. Varesina must find a way to capitalize on Pavia's relatively low goal average at home and look to improve their scoring rate, especially with their susceptibility to conceding. Tactical setups from their respective coaching staff will play a big role in how effectively they can execute their game plans.
Prediction
Pavia's slight edge in defensive capabilities and ability to avoid heavy defeats at home might just give them the upper hand in this clash. Given their modes of play demonstrated in recent matches, it appears Pavia could leverage their home advantage. With the pressure mounting on both teams to perform, expect a landscape where Pavia seeks to notch a vital home win.
Given the current trajectories, Pavia is positioned as the likely winner in this matchup. Optimism surrounds their home advantage, and despite the pressure, they could very well manage to secure the three points.
Match info
Tournaments:
Serie D - Girone D(Group D - 7)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Pavia
L
L
D
D
D
Varesina
D
L
L
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Lentigione | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Correggese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Città di Varese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 |  Pavia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Varesina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Solbiatese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coriano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Arconatese | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Oltrepò | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
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Pavia vs Varesina - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Pavia vs Varesina football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.