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Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1109:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Peña Deportiva 1-2 Orihuela
Peña DeportivaDrawOrihuela
Over 2.5 goalsYes (62%)
Both teams to scoreYes (61%)
Peña Deportiva host Orihuela in Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on 11 October 2026, with the visitors holding a narrow edge in a fixture that carries genuine uncertainty. Peña sit 18th with 1 point from five games, while Orihuela occupy 10th with 7 points. The bookmakers price this as a competitive encounter, with the away win at 2.46 reflecting the underlying quality gap between the sides.
Team form
Peña Deportiva
Peña Deportiva have endured a difficult campaign, winning none of their five matches and conceding 1.60 goals per game. Their recent record reads four defeats and one draw, including losses to Valencia II (2-3), Real Murcia II (0-2), and Elche II (0-1). They managed only a 1-1 draw against Yeclano at home, their sole point to date. Scoring remains a problem: 0.60 goals per game suggests structural issues in attack, and they have failed to score in three of their last five outings.
Orihuela
Orihuela have shown greater resilience despite inconsistency. Two wins in five games—against Lorca Deportiva (1-0) and San Fernando CD (3-1 in the Copa Federación)—sit alongside two defeats and a draw. Their recent form is mixed: a 0-4 loss at home to Cieza and a 1-4 reverse against Castellón II are concerning, yet they drew 2-2 away at Deportiva Minera. They average 1.20 goals scored per game, a marked advantage over Peña, though their defensive record (2.20 conceded per game) suggests vulnerability.
Head-to-head
The teams' last two meetings offer limited insight into this fixture. They drew 1-1 in February 2021, and Orihuela won 1-0 at home in November 2020. Neither result provides a decisive pattern, though Orihuela's home victory hints at an ability to control matches against this opponent.
Key factors
Peña's defensive fragility—conceding 1.60 per game—will be tested by an Orihuela side capable of creating chances, despite their own leaky backline. Peña's attacking impotence (0.60 goals per game) is the most pressing concern; they lack the firepower to punish Orihuela's defensive lapses. Orihuela's superior goal-scoring average and league position suggest a side with more attacking intent and better organisation. The bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.71, reflecting the likelihood that Peña will concede while Orihuela will find the net. The over 2.5 goals market at 1.90 is fairly priced given both sides' tendency to leak goals.
Prediction
Orihuela hold a narrow edge as slight favourites. Their superior league position, better scoring record, and recent wins over comparable opponents outweigh their defensive inconsistency. Peña's inability to score and their winless record make them vulnerable to a visiting side with attacking ambition. The data-driven case rests on Orihuela's marginal superiority in quality and Peña's structural attacking weakness. A narrow away victory is the most probable outcome, with both teams likely to score given the defensive vulnerabilities on display.
Orihuela are slight favourites to win. The visitors' league position and goal-scoring average provide a marginal edge over a Peña side that has struggled to create and convert chances. Expect a competitive match with both teams likely to score, though Orihuela's greater attacking threat should prove decisive. Backing the away win offers value at 2.46.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3(Group 3 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Peña Deportiva
L
L
L
D
L
Orihuela
L
L
D
L
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 |  La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Castellonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Alcoyano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Ucam Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 |  Intercity | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Deportiva Minera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Yeclano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Mallorca II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Atlético Baleares | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Valencia II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Elche II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Poblense | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 |  Real Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Peña Deportiva vs Orihuela football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.