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Puebla Calzada vs Moralo Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1110:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Puebla Calzada 2-1 Moralo
Puebla CalzadaDrawMoralo
Over 2.5 goalsYes (64%)
Both teams to scoreYes (62%)
Puebla Calzada host Moralo in Tercera División RFEF Group 14 on 11 October 2026, with the visitors sitting second in the table and the hosts fifth. Moralo arrive with 11 points from five games; Puebla Calzada have 8 from the same number of fixtures. The gap is narrow enough that the outcome will shape both sides' ambitions in this regional division.
Team form
Puebla Calzada
Puebla Calzada have won twice in their last five outings but also lost to Quintana 1-2 at home in late September. They drew 0-0 away at Atlético Pueblonuevo most recently and beat Plasencia 3-0 on the road earlier in the month. Their record reads inconsistent: capable of shutting out opponents but also vulnerable to conceding. Over five games they have scored 8 and conceded 4, averaging 1.60 goals for and 0.80 against.
Moralo
Moralo have won three of their five matches and remain unbeaten in that span, though two draws in their last three outings—1-1 at home to Gévora and 1-1 away at Santa Amalia—suggest their rhythm has flattened slightly. They beat CD Zafra 2-0 at home and won 3-2 away at Jaraíz earlier in September. Their attacking output is steadier than Puebla Calzada's at 1.80 goals per game, though they concede more (1.00 per game).
Head-to-head
Moralo hold a commanding edge in recent meetings. They won 2-0 away in April 2026, drew 1-1 in November 2025, won 3-2 away in May 2025, and thrashed Puebla Calzada 5-2 at home in January 2025. In four encounters, Moralo have won twice, drawn once, and lost none. Puebla Calzada have never beaten them in this sequence.
Key factors
Puebla Calzada's home record offers some comfort—they have won twice at home this season—but Moralo's unbeaten run and superior league position present a stiff test. Moralo's recent draws suggest they are not infallible, and Puebla Calzada's 3-0 win over Plasencia shows they can produce attacking football. The head-to-head record weighs heavily in Moralo's favour, yet Puebla Calzada's defensive solidity (0.80 conceded per game) could frustrate a visiting side that has drawn two of their last three. Neither team has shown the ruthlessness to dominate decisively.
Prediction
Puebla Calzada are favoured to win at home, though the margin is not commanding. Their home advantage and Moralo's recent inconsistency—two draws in the last three games—create an opening. Moralo's unbeaten record and superior goal-scoring average (1.80 per game) keep them dangerous, but the head-to-head disparity suggests Puebla Calzada have learned from past defeats. A fairly open contest is likely, with both sides capable of scoring. The balance of play should lean toward the hosts, but Moralo remain capable of a result.
Puebla Calzada are the more likely winner, but this is not a confident prediction. Expect a competitive match in which Moralo's defensive vulnerabilities—they concede 1.00 per game—could be exploited by a motivated home side. A draw remains plausible given the recent form of both teams, and Moralo's threat on the counter cannot be ignored. For fantasy purposes, monitor team news closely; Puebla Calzada's attacking players offer value if they can break down a Moralo side that has shown cracks in their last two outings.
Match info
Tournaments:
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14(Group 14 - 6)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Puebla Calzada
D
L
W
W
D
Moralo
D
D
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Moralo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 3 |  Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Puebla Calzada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Gévora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 |  CD Zafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Villanovense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 |  Santa Amalia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 |  Villafranca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Montijo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Cabeza Buey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Jerez | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Jaraíz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Quintana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 |  Plasencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
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Puebla Calzada vs Moralo - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
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