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Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-10-2026
Oct 1107:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Yanbian Longding 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Yanbian LongdingDrawNantong Zhiyun
Over 2.5 goalsNo (40%)
Yanbian Longding host Nantong Zhiyun in League One Round 26, a fixture that pits sixth-placed hosts against third-placed visitors at the Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium. The visitors arrive with a commanding 9-point advantage in the standings and a recent head-to-head edge, having beaten Yanbian 2-0 just four months ago. This is a match where the league table tells a clear story: Nantong are the stronger side, but Yanbian's home advantage and recent unpredictability could make this tighter than the standings suggest.
Team form
Yanbian Longding
Yanbian's last five games reveal a side struggling for consistency. They have won just once—a 4-3 victory over Guangzhou E-Power—while drawing three times and losing once. Over this run they have conceded 1.8 goals per game, well above their season average of 1.12, suggesting defensive frailty. Their most recent outing saw them lose 0-2 to Nantong, a result that underlines their vulnerability against the division's stronger teams. At home they drew 2-2 with Changchun Yatai and 1-1 with Guangxi Hengchen, hinting that the Yanji crowd offers some support but not enough to paper over their structural weaknesses.
Nantong Zhiyun
Nantong have been far more composed. Over five games they have won three, drawn one, and lost once, conceding just 0.6 goals per game—significantly better than their season average of 0.80. Their defensive solidity is striking: they held Guangxi to a 0-0 draw and won 1-0 against both Wuxi Wugou and Dalian Huayi. The only blemish was a 1-3 defeat to Guangzhou E-Power, but they bounced back immediately. This is a team that travels well and knows how to control games. Their 2-0 win over Yanbian in June demonstrated exactly that control.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record is split, but recent momentum favours Nantong. They won 2-0 at home in June, a performance that looked comfortable and clinical. Before that, Yanbian won 1-0 away in November 2025, and before that won 1-0 at home in June 2025. So Yanbian have won their home fixtures against Nantong historically, but Nantong's most recent meeting—on the road, no less—was a dominant display. That suggests the visitors have found a formula.
Key factors
Nantong's defensive discipline is the standout metric here. They concede 0.80 per game across the season and have tightened further in recent weeks. Yanbian, by contrast, are leaking 1.8 per game lately. Nantong also hold a 12-win tally for the season compared to Yanbian's 9, and their +14 goal difference (34:20) against Yanbian's +6 (34:28) speaks to their overall quality. The visitors' third-place finish is no accident. However, Yanbian do score at a similar rate to Nantong (1.36 per game each for the season), so they are not without attacking threat, especially at home. The question is whether they can break down a visiting defence that has proven hard to penetrate.
Prediction
Nantong arrive as the stronger outfit on paper and in recent form. Their defensive record, league position, and the 2-0 victory over Yanbian just months ago all point in one direction. Yanbian's home record against Nantong is a counter-narrative, but their current defensive fragility and the visitors' tightness in recent weeks suggest that pattern may not hold. The expected goal balance tilts toward Nantong, and their superior discipline makes them the more likely winners. That said, Yanbian are not without hope—they can score, and home advantage carries weight. This is an edge for Nantong rather than a certainty.
Nantong Zhiyun are the pick to win, but this is a finely balanced contest where an away victory is the likeliest outcome rather than a commanding one. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair; the visitors' defensive control should prove decisive, but Yanbian's home support and attacking capability mean a draw or a home upset cannot be ruled out. For the betting community, this is a match where the away win offers value relative to the alternatives, though the margin is narrow.
Match info
Tournaments:
League One(Regular Season - 26)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Yanbian Longding
D
L
L
L
L
Nantong Zhiyun
W
W
L
W
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guangzhou E-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 57 |
| 2 |  Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 45 |
| 3 |  Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 45 |
| 4 |  Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 |  Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 39 |
| 6 |  Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 36 |
| 7 |  Hebei Kungfu | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 |  Wuxi Wugou | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33 |
| 9 |  Changchun Yatai | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 30 |
| 10 |  Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 29 |
| 11 |  Dalian Huayi | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 29 |
| 12 |  Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 27 |
| 13 |  Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 24 |
| 14 |  Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 |
| 15 |  Meizhou Kejia | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 |
| 16 |  Dongguan United | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 16 |
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Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Yanbian Longding vs Nantong Zhiyun football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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