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Castellonense vs La Nucía Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 11-11-2026
Nov 1117:45
Match Prediction
Expected score: Castellonense 2-1 La Nucía
CastellonenseDrawLa Nucía
Over 2.5 goalsYes (62%)
Both teams to scoreYes (61%)
Castellonense hosts La Nucía in Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on 18 October 2026, a meeting between two sides locked level on 12 points after six games. Both teams have won four and lost two, sharing identical goal records of 10 scored and 6 conceded. The home side holds a narrow edge in the head-to-head record, winning two of the last five meetings, though the fixture has produced mixed results across recent seasons.
Team form
Castellonense
Castellonense arrive in mixed form. They won 3-0 at home against Real Murcia II on 4 October but suffered a 2-3 defeat away at Deportiva Minera six days later. Before that, they lost 0-1 away to Lorca Deportiva on 27 September. Over their last five games, they have scored 8 goals and conceded 5, averaging 1.6 per game offensively and 1.0 defensively. The pattern shows vulnerability on the road but greater control at home.
La Nucía
La Nucía have endured a tougher recent spell. They lost 1-3 at home to Lorca Deportiva on 11 October and suffered a 0-2 defeat away at Deportiva Minera four days earlier. Their season average stands at 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game, but their last five matches tell a different story: 9 goals for and 6 against, averaging 1.8 and 1.2 respectively. They showed attacking intent in a 5-1 home win over Real Murcia II on 13 September but have since struggled for consistency.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record slightly favours Castellonense. They won 2-0 at home in April 2026 and claimed a 2-1 away victory in May 2025. La Nucía won 2-0 away in April 2025, and the teams have drawn twice: 0-0 in May 2025 and 1-1 in November 2024. Castellonense have won two of the five meetings, with one win for La Nucía and two draws. Home advantage has not been decisive in this fixture.
Key factors
Both teams are evenly matched in league standing and goal difference, making this a genuine contest between equals. Castellonense's home record appears stronger than La Nucía's away form, a factor worth noting given the visitors' recent defensive lapses. La Nucía have conceded 6 goals in their last five games, suggesting their defence is under pressure. Conversely, Castellonense's recent away defeat indicates they too are vulnerable when travelling. The bookmakers price this as a tight affair, with the home win at 2.54 only marginally shorter than the away win at 2.59, reflecting the genuine uncertainty.
Prediction
Castellonense hold a slight favourite status, supported by their superior home record and the head-to-head advantage. However, the margin is narrow. La Nucía remain competitive and capable of taking points, particularly if they can tighten their defence. The expected goal balance favours the home side but not decisively. Both teams have shown they can score in recent matches, and the underlying data suggests a fairly open contest with goals likely from both sides.
Castellonense are marginally more likely to win, though this remains a close-run affair. A home victory is the primary pick, but draws and away wins retain meaningful probability. Expect an open match with chances at both ends; both teams scoring is a realistic outcome given their recent attacking output and defensive frailties.
Match info
Tournaments:
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3(Group 3 - 7)
Referee:
No information
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Castellonense
L
D
L
W
L
La Nucía
W
L
L
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
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Castellonense vs La Nucía - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Castellonense vs La Nucía football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
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