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Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 12-09-2026
Sep 1219:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Gremio 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
GremioDrawVasco DA Gama
Over 2.5 goalsNo (45%)
Both teams to scoreNo (49%)
As two sides fighting at the lower end of the Serie A standings meet, Gremio welcomes Vasco DA Gama to their home ground in Porto Alegre for a crucial match. With both teams striving to avoid relegation, the stakes could not be higher in this clash.
Team form
Gremio
Gremio comes into this fixture sitting in 15th place, having gathered 28 points from 25 matches. Their recent form shows just one win in their last five games, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per game while conceding 1.0. A recent goalless draw with Remo suggests a struggle in finding the back of the net, which could be a concern as they face a direct rival. The home advantage might be notable, yet their inability to secure victories lately does raise eyebrows.
Vasco DA Gama
On the other hand, Vasco DA Gama sits in 17th with 25 points from 25 fixtures. Their recent form is slightly better, having accumulated two wins in their last five outings, averaging 2.0 goals scored per match, but posting an average of 1.8 conceded. Interestingly, they secured a 2-1 victory against Gremio in their recent encounter on March 22, which could provide them with some confidence against a familiar opponent.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record favours Gremio slightly, as they have won four of the last five meetings against Vasco DA Gama. However, it’s worth noting that their last encounter this season directly resulted in a loss for Gremio. This pattern may indicate that recent form can often outweigh historical results.
Key factors
Several factors could influence the outcome of this match. Gremio is dealing with several absences, including players due to injuries and suspensions which will undeniably impact their lineup and potentially their attacking potency. Meanwhile, Vasco DA Gama will be without their own key players, which could affect both their defensive and offensive plays. Both teams display vulnerability, with their respective xG stats indicating fluctuating performances.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win based on Gremio's historical performance against Vasco DA Gama despite their current struggles. The average expected goals suggest Gremio has the slight edge in creating opportunities, although Vasco DA Gama’s recent trend of finding the net more often cannot be overlooked. Close scorelines are anticipated, suggesting a tense encounter.
Overall, Gremio might be poised for a narrow victory here, capitalizing on home advantage while aiming to rectify current form issues. The match promises to be a crucial battle for both teams as they strive to maintain Serie A status.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Gremio
L
W
W
D
L
Vasco DA Gama
D
L
W
W
W
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 54 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 53 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 43 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 |
| 8 |  Atletico-MG | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33 |
| 11 |  Vitoria | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 12 |  Corinthians | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32 |
| 13 |  Santos | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 |
| 14 |  Botafogo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 |
| 16 |  Mirassol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 |
| 17 |  Vasco DA Gama | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
| 19 |  Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 |
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Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.