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Swansea vs Burnley Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 12-09-2026
Sep 1214:00
Match Prediction
Expected score: Swansea 1-0 Burnley
SwanseaDrawBurnley
Over 2.5 goalsYes (51%)
Both teams to scoreYes (54%)
As Swansea prepares to host Burnley in the Championship on September 12, 2026, the stakes are significant for both teams at the Swansea.com Stadium. With the home side currently positioned second in the league standings, a victory could bolster their campaign, while Burnley, languishing at the bottom, desperately seeks their first win of the season.
Team form
Swansea
Swansea's recent form has shown a mix of results. In their last five matches, they secured three wins and two draws, showcasing their potential to score, averaging 1.2 goals per game and conceding just 0.6. However, they recently suffered a heavy defeat at Southampton, which might affect their confidence. They have not lost at home since their season opener, indicative of their strong form on their grounds.
Burnley
Contrastingly, Burnley remains without a victory this season despite a couple of recent draws, yielding just three points from six matches. Their average scoring has been poor with only 1.0 goals per game while conceding 2.2. Their performances indicate a struggling defense alongside an attack that has yet to click, highlighting a challenging season ahead as they try to find their rhythm under coach N. Hayen.
Head-to-head
In their last five encounters, history favors Burnley, who won three of those matchups, the most recent being a narrow 1-0 victory in 2024. This dominance may cause psychological challenges for Swansea, although trends can change quickly. Burnley’s historical edge could offer them slightly boosted morale despite their ongoing struggles this season.
Key factors
The key factor in this encounter will be Swansea's capacity to maintain their solid defensive record against Burnley's flagging offense. Additionally, the effectiveness of Swansea's strikers will be pivotal; the previous matches saw Burnley giving away significant goal opportunities, perhaps becoming critical in determining the match's outcome. Both teams rely heavily on maintaining possession to control the game's pace, but Swansea appears to have the upper hand statistically.
Prediction
Expect a closely contested match with Swansea looking to assert their dominance home. Burnley could face issues breaking through a resilient Swansea defense. However, over the course of their matchups, both teams have shown signs of being capable of finding the back of the net, but the scoring could be limited. The expectation of under 2.5 goals is feasible given they average higher than that as teams this season, and chances to score could be scarce given their recent form.
With all factors considered, Swansea's form and home advantage make them the clear favorite to win. Thus, the expected outcome aligns with a potential home victory.
Match info
Tournaments:
Championship(Regular Season - 7)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Swansea
L
D
W
W
D
Burnley
D
L
D
L
D
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 2 |  West Ham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 3 |  Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 |  QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 |  Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 |  Wolves | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Watford | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 15 |  Birmingham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 16 |  Stoke City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 18 |  Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 20 |  Cardiff | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 21 |  Bolton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 22 |  Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 23 |  Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
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Swansea vs Burnley - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Swansea vs Burnley football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.