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Expected score: Atalanta 2-1 Venezia
Atalanta will host Venezia at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo on October 12, 2026, in a Serie A clash that sees two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. Atalanta, currently 11th, are looking to regain form against a struggling Venezia at the bottom of the standings.
Team form
Atalanta
Atalanta has had a shaky start to the season with 5 matches resulting in 2 wins and 3 losses, accumulating 6 points. Their recent matches show a defense that's conceding at a rate of 1.4 goals per game, suggesting areas needing improvement. At home, they have a win and a loss from their last two outings, scoring 1 goal while conceding 2 in their last match against Cagliari after a narrow victory against Bologna. Their attacking output remains steady with an average of 1 goal per game.
Venezia
On the other hand, Venezia finds themselves in dire straits, rooted at the bottom of the table without a point from 5 matches and a dismal goal difference of -9. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game this season. Their attack is struggling significantly and lacks coordination, which was evident in their last match against Lazio where they were shut out, and overall performance hasn’t seen them find the back of the net frequently enough to pose a serious threat.
Head-to-head
Historically, Atalanta dominates the head-to-head records against Venezia, recently going unbeaten in their last five encounters, including winning four and drawing one. The last fixture in March 2025 ended in a goalless draw, while prior games have seen Atalanta scoring multiple times against Venezia, including a comprehensive 4-0 victory in November 2021. This record adds psychological weight favoring Atalanta as they face a Venezia side looking for their first points of the season.
Key factors
Atalanta’s key players, especially Charles De Ketelaere and Jonathan Rowe, have shown potential in attack, and their ability to convert chances will be central in this match. Conversely, Venezia requires critical contributions from Rodrigo Kike Pérez and Akor Adams, who showed glimpses of their potential throughout the season but need to perform consistently. Defensive resilience for Atalanta and establishing control in midfield by Maurizio Sarri's side will be crucial to stifling any threat on their goal, while Venezia must look to press and exploit any disorganization in their rival's backline.
Prediction
With the odds reflecting a clearer outlook for an Atalanta win, taking into account both teams' form and historical context, Atalanta's strong attacking lineup presents a favorable matchup against a struggling Venezia defense. The played tactics from Atalanta, prioritizing an aggressive forward press, should yield chances, given Venezia's inability to defend against simple attacking movements.
Therefore, a home victory for Atalanta is expected in this fixture, providing an opportunity to enhance their standing by taking full advantage of the situation presented by a winless Venezia.
Match info
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
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Atalanta vs Venezia - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Atalanta vs Venezia football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.