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Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips - 12-11-2026
Nov 1217:30
Match Prediction
Expected score: Calvo Sotelo 0-1 Albacete
Calvo SoteloDrawAlbacete
Over 2.5 goalsYes (57%)
Calvo Sotelo hosts Albacete in the Copa del Rey Round of 128 at the New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano on 12 November 2026. This is a mismatch on paper: the home side competes in Segunda División RFEF Group 5, while Albacete operate two tiers higher in Segunda División. The visitors arrive as the favourite despite their own recent struggles.
Team form
Calvo Sotelo
Calvo Sotelo's last five matches paint a bleak picture. They have won none of their last five league outings, collecting two draws and three defeats. Most damaging was the 0-6 hammering at Numancia on 8 November—a result that exposes serious defensive fragility. Over this five-game stretch, they have conceded 2.4 goals per game while managing only 0.8 in attack. The 2-2 draw with Getafe II on 25 October represents their best recent showing, but that came against a reserve side. They are leaking goals at an alarming rate and offer little going forward.
Albacete
Albacete are in freefall. They have lost all five of their most recent Segunda División fixtures, conceding 2.8 goals per game and scoring just 0.6. The 5-0 defeat to Valladolid on 12 October and the 3-1 loss to Eibar on 3 October reveal a defence in crisis. Their last outing, a 2-1 defeat at Sporting Gijon on 17 October, showed they can at least find the net, but consistency is nowhere to be found. Under coach Joseba Etxeberria, they have managed only 48% possession and 0.45 expected goals in their last recorded match—figures that suggest a side struggling to impose itself.
Head-to-head
No head-to-head record exists between these clubs.
Key factors
The gulf in league level favours Albacete, but both sides are in poor form. Calvo Sotelo's defensive record is catastrophic—the 0-6 loss to Numancia is a red flag for this fixture. Albacete, despite their own defensive problems, should have more technical quality and composure. The bookmakers price Albacete at 1.56 (64% implied probability), reflecting their status as the higher-division side. Calvo Sotelo's home advantage is negated by their current trajectory. The over 2.5 goals market sits at 1.62 (62% implied), suggesting an expectation of an open game—plausible given both sides' leaky defences. Both teams to score is priced at 1.7 (59% implied), indicating a fairly balanced chance of goals at both ends.
Prediction
Albacete are the favourite despite their recent form because they operate at a significantly higher competitive level. Calvo Sotelo have conceded 12 goals in five league matches and showed no resilience against Numancia. While Albacete are also fragile defensively, they possess superior technical ability and should create more dangerous chances. The visitors' quality should tell over 90 minutes, even if Calvo Sotelo can trouble them on the counter. The expected goal balance favours Albacete, and their league pedigree should prove decisive in a Copa del Rey tie where they are expected to progress.
Albacete are the favourite to win this tie. Expect them to control possession and create the clearer opportunities, though Calvo Sotelo's desperation and home support may generate some attacking moments. A fairly open game is likely given both sides' defensive vulnerabilities, but Albacete should have enough to secure the win.
Match info
Tournaments:
Copa del Rey(Round of 128)
Referee:
No information
Stadium
New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano
Statistics
Odds Comparison
Recent Form
Calvo Sotelo
L
L
D
L
D
Albacete
W
W
W
L
L
Injuries & Suspensions
Lineups
Other Football matches
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete - Football Prediction & Betting Tips
Expert Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete football prediction on 365sport.tv combines tactical formation analysis with goal-scoring trends. Our model evaluates penalty statistics, clean sheet records, goalkeeper form, defensive line organization and home-field advantage to identify value in match outcomes and goal markets.
Our football prediction methodology analyzes formation matchups, transition efficiency, set-piece vulnerability and injury impact on tactical setup. Compare odds from multiple bookmakers and discover predictions backed by analysis of goal-line actions, corner conversion rates and defensive pressure patterns across multiple possession phases.